Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FNUS73 KMPX 241024
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Parker Creek Rx Burn...WDNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
524 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the Parker Creek Rx Burn, skies will be
mostly sunny today with a few high clouds moving through from west
to east later this afternoon. This will allow highs today to be
in the mid to upper 50s. Dry conditions are expected, with
relative humidity values forecasted to be in the upper 40s this
morning before dropping into the mid-low 30s by the afternoon.
Winds will generally be south-southeasterly at 5-10 MPH.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........44 at ignition...Max 55.
RH..................49 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph
                    shifting to the south late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /13500 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /27900 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  47  50  53  54  55  55  55  54  51  47  44
RH..............49  43  41  38  36  34  34  34  36  41  47  53
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   5   5   6   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   7   7   7   8   7   7   7   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.4 4.2 4.9 5.2 5.6 5.4 5.0 2.7 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   SW  SW  W   SW  SW  S   S   SE  S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   8   10
Haines index....3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 36.
RH..................Max 64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (25100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the south 6
                    to 12 mph early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Max 62.
RH..................Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (74800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dunleavy
Requested by...Jed Hopp
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412140.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jed.Hopp@WI.gov


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