Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
684 FNUS53 KMQT 120904 FWFMQT FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN National Weather Service Marquette MI 504 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 ...Cold front this afternoon brings showers and thunderstorms... .DISCUSSION: Minor sprinkles or isolated light showers moves into the eastern UP after dawn this morning with gradually clearing over the west. Highs this afternoon are expected in the upper 50s to mid 60s over the east, mid to upper 60s in the Keweenaw, and upper 60s to upper 70s over the west; a few spots in the interior could hit low 80s. With drying and clearing in the west this morning, RHs should fall near 30% over the west with min RHs in the east likely only dipping into the 40s and 50s. Southerly wind gusts ahead of the afternoon cold front are expected up to 20-25 mph. A cold front then moves through this afternoon, bringing showers and thunderstorms to most of the Upper Peninsula. Accumulations are expected around a few hundreths for most, but 0.25-0.5 inches is possible for stronger showers and storms in the south central Upper Peninsula. Once the showers and thunderstorms move southeast out of the area with the cold front this evening, a dry period begins. Dry weather holds through Wednesday as high pressure extends overhead. Mixing during this period will result in RHs approaching 30% over the interior west and gusts nearing 20 mph on Tuesday and Wednesday. MIZ001-003-130915- Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 504 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. A few sprinkles through mid afternoon. Max temperature.....67-72 inland to around 62 at the shore. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Min humidity........41-46 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 9 to 14 mph shifting to the west 8 to 13 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear. Min temperature.....Around 39. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Max humidity........77-82 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None. LAL.................1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....51-56 inland to around 50 at the shore. Min humidity........37-42 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph through early afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........12. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ002-009-084-130915- Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw 504 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 /404 AM CDT Sun May 12 2024/ .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A few sprinkles through early afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms by late morning. A slight chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 76 inland to around 69 at the shore. 24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer. Min humidity........35-40 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 9 to 14 mph shifting to the northwest 8 to 13 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.10 inch. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2 until 1400, then 3 until 1900, then 2. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear. Min temperature.....Around 40. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Max humidity........72-77 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None. LAL.................1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....58-63 inland to around 54 at the shore. Min humidity........32-37 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........13. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ004-005-130915- Baraga-Marquette- Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette 504 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. A chance of rain showers. A chance of thunderstorms by late morning. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....72-77 inland to around 68 at the shore. 24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer. Min humidity........43-48 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west 7 to 12 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.29 inch. Hours of Sun........6. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2 until 1400, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Min temperature.....Around 40. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........72-77 percent. 24 hr trend......25 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 7 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest 6 to 11 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. LAL.................1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....59-64 inland to around 52 at the shore. Min humidity........36-41 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........12. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ010-011-130915- Iron-Dickinson- Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain 404 AM CDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A chance of thunderstorms by late morning. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 78. 24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer. Min humidity........36-41 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph shifting to the west 11 to 16 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.31 inch. Hours of Sun........6. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2 until 1400, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 40. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........75-80 percent. 24 hr trend......23 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.08 inch. LAL.................2 until 2200, then 1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....63-68. Min humidity........31-36 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........11. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ012-130915- Menominee- Including the city of Menominee 404 AM CDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles through early afternoon. Rain showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....77-82 inland to around 71 at the shore. 24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer. Min humidity........38-43 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph increasing to southwest 11 to 16 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.20-0.48 inch. Hours of Sun........5. LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2 until 1500, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 44. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Max humidity........97-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the northwest late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.11 inch. LAL.................3 until 2300, then 1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....64-69. Min humidity........36-41 percent inland to 49 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......North 6 to 11 mph shifting to the northeast 5 to 10 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ006-007-085-130915- Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft- Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry, and Seney 504 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A chance of thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....62-67. 24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer. Min humidity........50-55 percent inland to 44 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.23 inch. Hours of Sun........4. LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2 until 1500, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 39. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent inland to 86 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest 6 to 11 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.07 inch. LAL.................3 until 2200, then 2 until 2300, then 1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....56-61 inland to around 51 at the shore. Min humidity........44-49 percent inland to 56 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 8 to 13 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ013-130915- Delta- Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone 504 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles through mid afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Rain showers likely late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....69-74 inland to around 60 at the shore. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........50-55 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. PCPN amount.........0.17-0.47 inch. Hours of Sun........5. LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2 until 1500, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 42. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the northwest 7 to 12 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. LAL.................3 until 2200, then 2 until 2300, then 1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....60-65. Min humidity........42-47 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ014-095-130915- Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac- Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine 504 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A chance of thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....60-65 inland to around 56 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........52-57 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph increasing to 11 to 16 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.22 inch. Hours of Sun........4. LAL.................1 until 1500, then 2 until 1600, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 41. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the northwest 7 to 12 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.06 inch. LAL.................3 until 2300, then 1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 62. Min humidity........40-45 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ096-097-130915- Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island 504 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....60-65 inland to around 59 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........50-55 percent. 24 hr trend......22 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph increasing to 9 to 14 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.05 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................1 until 1700, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of rain showers through midnight. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 43. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph shifting to the west 6 to 11 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.07 inch. LAL.................3 until 2300, then 1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....61-66. Min humidity........41-46 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ088-130915- Southeast Chippewa- Including the city of Drummond 504 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles through mid afternoon. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....56-61. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........58-63 percent. 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph shifting to the southeast 10 to 15 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of rain showers through midnight. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 43. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........97-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph shifting to the west 6 to 11 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. LAL.................2 until 2300, then 1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....60-65. Min humidity........43-48 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ086-087-130915- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa- Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie 504 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....60-65 inland to around 59 at the shore. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........47-52 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................1 until 1500, then 2 until 1700, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of rain showers through midnight. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 41. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph shifting to the west 6 to 11 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.11 inch. LAL.................3 until 2300, then 1. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....59-64 inland to around 52 at the shore. Min humidity........42-47 percent inland to 51 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 33 to 39, warmer near the lakeshores. Highs 54 to 64 inland to around 48 near the Lake Superior shore. North winds 6 to 11 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers late in the west. Lows 34 to 40. Highs 60 to 70 inland to around 54 near the Lake Superior shore. Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows 40 to 45. Highs 63 to 68 inland to around 59 at the shore. Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows around 44. Highs 65 to 72 inland to around 58 at the shore. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows around 47. Highs 68 to 73 inland to around 60 at the shore. .Outlook for Sun May 19 through Sat May 25...expect above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation. $$ ...................Smoke Management Forecast data.................... The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today: Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE / 3100 / SW 25 / 775 (E) 200301 / KENTON/ 5 MODERATE / 3400 / W 21 / 714 (E) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 5 MODERATE / 3900 / W 23 / 897 (E) 201004 / MUNISING/ 4 LOW / 800 / SW 19 / 152 (F) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 4 LOW / 1900 / SW 21 / 399 (G) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 4 LOW / 300 / SW 25 / 75 (P) 200703 / GWINN/ 5 MODERATE / 2300 / SW 24 / 552 (G) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE / 2800 / SW 24 / 672 (E) 200503 / PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE / 4300 / W 20 / 860 (E) 201504 / RACO/ 3 VERY LOW / 2200 / S 32 / 704 (E) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 6 HIGH / 7600 / W 27 / 2052 (E) 201401 / REXTON/ 3 VERY LOW / 2000 / S 31 / 620 (E) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 3 VERY LOW / 2400 / S 27 / 648 (E) 201202 / SENEY/ 4 LOW / 2300 / S 27 / 621 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW / 2500 / S 33 / 825 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 4 LOW / 1600 / SW 21 / 336 (G) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 5 MODERATE / 3900 / W 23 / 897 (E) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 6 HIGH / 3800 / W 28 / 1064 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 3 VERY LOW / 2400 / S 20 / 480 (G) / KEW/ 4 LOW / 600 / W 21 / 126 (P) THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Mon... Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 4 LOW / 5600 / NW 5 / 280 (F) 200301 / KENTON/ 3 VERY LOW / 4100 / NW 11 / 451 (G) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 3 VERY LOW / 5000 / NW 12 / 600 (E) 201004 / MUNISING/ 3 VERY LOW / 1700 / NW 14 / 238 (F) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW / 2300 / NW 13 / 299 (F) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 3 VERY LOW / 2300 / NW 12 / 276 (F) 200703 / GWINN/ 2 VERY LOW / 3500 / NW 11 / 385 (G) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 4 LOW / 5300 / NW 6 / 318 (G) 200503 / PELKIE/ 3 VERY LOW / 4700 / W 11 / 517 (G) 201504 / RACO/ 3 VERY LOW / 2800 / NW 12 / 336 (G) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 4 LOW / 5600 / NW 6 / 336 (G) 201401 / REXTON/ 4 LOW / 4000 / NW 11 / 440 (G) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 3 VERY LOW / 4000 / NW 12 / 480 (G) 201202 / SENEY/ 4 LOW / 3500 / NW 12 / 420 (G) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW / 2300 / NW 12 / 276 (F) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 4 LOW / 4000 / NW 11 / 440 (G) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 3 VERY LOW / 4100 / NW 11 / 451 (G) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 4 LOW / 4700 / NW 10 / 470 (G) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 4 LOW / 2000 / NW 11 / 220 (F) / KEW/ 3 VERY LOW / 2800 / NW 12 / 336 (G) Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level Transport winds are in miles per hour ..................................................................... The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST. Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials. WIMS ID/ Site/Temp/ RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF --------------------------------------------------- 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 76/ 37/ 9/ 13/ SW/0.00 200301 / KENTON/ 72/ 47/ 7/ 12/ W/0.01 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 73/ 47/ 8/ 12/ W/0.01 201004 / MUNISING/ 57/ 62/ 10/ 16/ S/0.00 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 61/ 57/ 8/ 15/ S/0.00 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 60/ 57/ 8/ 16/ S/0.00 200703 / GWINN/ 69/ 48/ 8/ 12/ S/0.00 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 73/ 44/ 8/ 12/ S/0.00 200503 / PELKIE/ 73/ 43/ 8/ 12/ W/0.00 201504 / RACO/ 59/ 55/ 9/ 17/ S/0.00 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 77/ 35/ 9/ 12/ SW/0.00 201401 / REXTON/ 58/ 61/ 10/ 16/ S/0.00 201505 / RUDYARD/ 57/ 63/ 8/ 13/ S/0.00 201202 / SENEY/ 60/ 56/ 12/ 19/ S/0.00 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 60/ 54/ 11/ 19/ S/0.00 201102 / STONINGTON/ 62/ 56/ 9/ 15/ S/0.00 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 73/ 42/ 8/ 11/ W/0.00 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 74/ 42/ 10/ 12/ W/0.00 /DRUMND ISLAND/ 55/ 64/ 6/ 8/ S/0.00 / KEW/ 65/ 53/ 9/ 13/ W/0.00 $$ Jablonski