Extended Streamflow Prediction
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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000
FGUS64 KFWR 041841
ESPFWR

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
                        WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER
 2019 WATER SUPPLY FORECAST  FOR MAY 1, 2019  ISSUED MAY 4, 2019


NORTHWESTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO
                                                    50%  % OF   MAX    30%    70%    MIN   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  AVG  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   AVG
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
RIO GRANDE AT WAGON WHEEL GAP             APR-SEP    510  150    595    540    475    430    340
SF RIO GRANDE AT SOUTH FORK               APR-SEP    165  130    186    173    157    145    127
RIO GRANDE NR DEL NORTE                   APR-SEP    755  147    870    800    715    650    515
SAGUACHE CK NR SAGUACHE                   APR-SEP     44  138     59     50     39     31     32
ALAMOSA CK AB TERRACE RESERVOIR           APR-SEP     84  124    100     90     78     69     68

CONEJOS R NR MOGOTE                       APR-SEP    245  126    285    260    230    210    194

CULEBRA CK AT SAN LUIS                    APR-SEP     25  109     35     29     21   15.6     23


MIDDLE SANGRE MTNS IN NEW MEXICO
                                                    50%  % OF   MAX    30%    70%    MIN   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  AVG  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   AVG
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
RED R BL FISH HATCHERY NR QUESTA          MAR-JUL     40  118     54     45     35     29     34
RIO HONDO NR VALDEZ                       MAR-JUL     23  125     30     25     20   16.6   18.4
RIO PUEBLO DE TAOS BL LOS CORDOVAS        MAR-JUL     37  103     54     43     31     24     36
SANTA CRUZ R AT CUNDIYO                   MAR-JUL     24  131     29     26     22   18.9   18.3
                                          MAY-JUL    3.0  103    4.1    3.4    2.6    2.1    2.9

EL VADO
                                                    50%  % OF   MAX    30%    70%    MIN   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  AVG  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   AVG
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
EL VADO RESERVOIR INFLOW                  MAR-JUL    285  127    320    295    270    250    225


MAINSTEM ROUTINGS
                                                    50%  % OF   MAX    30%    70%    MIN   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  AVG  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   AVG
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
RIO GRANDE AT OTOWI BRIDGE                MAR-JUL    955  133   1120   1020    895    805    720
RIO GRANDE AT SAN MARCIAL                 MAR-JUL    690  135    830    745    635    550    510


PECOS
                                                    50%  % OF   MAX    30%    70%    MIN   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  AVG  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   AVG
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
PECOS R NR PECOS                          MAR-JUL     78  137     98     86     71     61     57
PECOS R NR ANTON CHICO                    MAR-JUL    104  165    134    115     94     80     63
GALLINAS CK NR MONTEZUMA                  MAR-JUL   13.7  140   18.8   15.6   12.0    9.9    9.8
PECOS R AB SANTA ROSA LK                  MAR-JUL     80  143    111     92     70     56     56


RIO CHAMA, OJO CALIENTE
                                                    50%  % OF   MAX    30%    70%    MIN   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  AVG  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   AVG
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
RIO OJO CALIENTE AT LA MADERA             MAR-JUN   39.0  198   55.9   45.5   34.6   29.3   19.7
RIO CHAMA NR CHAMITA                      MAY-JUN  371.5  186    434    385    335    322    201


 MAX (5%), 30%, 50%, 70% AND MIN (95%) CHANCE THAT ACTUAL VOLUME WILL EXCEED FORECAST.
 AVERAGES ARE FOR THE 1981-2010 PERIOD.
 ALL VOLUMES ARE IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET.  MEDIAN VALUE ARE USED IN PLACE OF AVERAGE

    ****************************************************************

   *        CONTACT DAVID.CAZIER@NOAA.GOV FOR QUESTIONS           *

   *        FOR BASIN SNOWPACK INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO        *

   *       HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WWGRF_SOIL_MOISTURE       *

   *     FOR USGS SURFACE-WATER DATA FOR COLORADO - REFER TO      *

   *       HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/CO/NWIS/SW                  *

   *    CURRENT CONDITIONS FOR NEW MEXICO RESERVOIRS - REFER TO   *

   *    HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/NM/NWIS/CURRENT?TYPE=LAKE      *

   *                                                              *

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