Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
000
FNUS74 KAMA 251341
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast for Agrium...Borger Fire
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
841 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (806) 335-1421, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Hot temperatures, low RH and high haines index values near 6 in
the afternoon could lead to some eratic fire behaivior in drier
fuels later today. Winds will geenrally be westerly arond 10-15
mph early with slow weakening in the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......2000-3200 ft AGL increasing to 16200-17400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (37400-75000 knot-ft)
                    increasing to excellent (226200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 to 6 or or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or high potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............78     87     94     97
RH..............50     32     22     16
20 ft wind......W 14   W 12   W 10   W 9
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0    4.5    9.6    17
Transp wind dir.SW     W      W      W
Transp wind spd.22     17     15     17
Haines index....5      5      6      6
VRate kt-ft/100037     68     125    261

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 9 mph shifting to the south 6
                    to 9 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......13700-14900 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest 8
                    to 14 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (164300 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............98     93     84     77     74     71
RH..............14     17     27     37     43     46
20 ft wind......W 9    W 9    S 9    S 8    S 7    S 6
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...15     9.2    0.1    0.1    0.1    0.1
Transp wind dir.W      W      S      S      S      SW
Transp wind spd.15     12     9      13     13     9
Haines index....6      6      6      6      6      6
VRate kt-ft/1000194    92     1      2      1      1

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 102.
Min humidity........10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......100-900 ft AGL increasing to 17100-17300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (400 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (115900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............67     71     83     93     99     102
RH..............50     44     31     19     13     10
20 ft wind......S 6    SW 6   SW 6   S 6    S 7    SE 10
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1    0.3    0.9    10     16     17
Transp wind dir.SW     SW     W      SW     SW     S
Transp wind spd.8      10     14     9      7      9
Haines index....6      6      6      6      6      6
VRate kt-ft/10001      3      11     82     95     139

$$
Forecaster...Gittinger
Requested by...Bob Watson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810625.1/AMA



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.