Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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966
FNUS72 KCAE 110828
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for 2024 CSNWR Rx Fire...USFWS
National Weather Service Columbia SC
428 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure in control through the weekend, bringing dry and
cooler conditions for both days. Afternoon highs are expected to
reach the mid 70s today with afternoon RH values dropping to
around 35 percent. Low-level winds from the north around 5 mph are
anticipated to shift to westerly in the afternoon and increase to
5-10 mph. Transport winds transition from north this morning to
the west this afternoon, maintain speeds around 6-13 mph. The
morning inversion is expected to break between 9 and 10 am. With
the dry airmass in place, fog is not expected overnight.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west 6
                    to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 13 mph shifting to the west 7 to 13
                    mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 87 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   1   2   1   1   2   9   16  18  18  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  52  56  60  63  66  69  71  72  74  75  75
RH..............86  86  77  69  62  54  47  44  41  38  37  37
Aparnt tmp (F)..52  52  56  60  63  66  69  71  72  74  75  75
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind dir..000 350 000 010 020 010 340 300 290 270 270 270
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   5   6   6   7   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  13  10  9   8   8   9   12  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.9 3.8 5.1 6.1 6.5 6.2 6.4 6.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind dir.000 000 010 020 020 000 320 300 290 280 280 280
Transp wind spd.10  10  13  10  7   6   7   7   9   9   12  13
LVORI...........5   5   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............5   10  12  22  26  28  44  51  65  63  80  87

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 6 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest late
                    in the evening, then shifting to the west 7 to
                    8 mph overnight shifting to the northwest
                    around 7 mph after 3 am.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................62 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........6      5      20     27     22     12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............75     69     63     62     59     57
RH..............38     53     65     65     78     80
Aparnt tmp (F)..75     69     63     62     59     57
20 FT wind......W 7    SW 5   SW 5   SW 6   W 5    NW 6
20 FT wind gust.12     7      7      8      8      7
20 FT wind dir..260    230    230    240    280    310
Mix hgt (ft)....4700   400    400    500    400    400
Transp wind dir.270    240    230    270    300    330
Transport wind..W 12   SW 7   SW 7   W 8    NW 8   NW 7
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      4      5
ADI.............62     3      3      4      4      3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 119 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........4         2         2         2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............57        65        74        80
RH..............80        65        41        33
Aparnt tmp (F)..57        65        74        79
20 FT wind......NW 6G7    NW 6G9    NW 8G12   NW 8G13
20 FT wind dir..320       310       300       300
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1700      5900      6900
Transp wind dir.330       320       290       290
Transport wind..NW 7      NW 12     W 13      W 16
LVORI...........5         3         1         1
ADI.............3         25        84        116

$$
Forecaster...Carlberg
Requested by...Perrine
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413722.0/CAE
.DELDT 05/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nathan_perrine@fws.gov