241
FNUS74 KFWD 122240
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Freestone County Flooding...Freestone County Emergency Management
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
540 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 CDT on May 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
Showers with embedded thunderstorms containing moderate to heavy
rainfall will continue through nightfall, then become more
isolated to scattered and much lighter or even sprinkles. After
rain ends overnight, areas of fog with isolated areas of dense fog
will likely develop through mid-late morning before dissipating.

A cold front arrives during the afternoon with scattered strong to
severe storms possible with hail and damaging winds as the main
impacts. A few may produce brief heavy rainfall across areas that
are completely saturated and could result in a brief increase in
areas where flooding is already ongoing. Weather should clear out
from the northwest during the evening Monday with a brief day or
two break before the next system impacts the region.

Additional, localized rainfall amounts of 1-2" will be possible
through tomorrow, but there will be a break tonight through mid
morning Monday.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening, then slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the evening. Patchy fog
                    through the night.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    around 5 mph after 3 am, then shifting to the
                    south around 6 mph early in the morning.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........91  95  92  87  85  81  87  86  87  87  86  90
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RNF RNF RNF FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Surface wnd dir.SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Surface wnd spd.9   7   9   9   9   8   7   7   8   6   5   6
Surface wnd gst.17  16  15  14  14  13  12  10  10  10  10  10

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning, then areas of fog early in the
                    morning. Patchy fog late in the morning. Chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms through the day.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 7 to 12 mph in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84  88  89  89  84  90  83  85  81  73  49  51
Weather cov.....PTY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG RNF RNF RNF RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.8   8   6   6   7   9   9   12  12  10  8   7
Surface wnd gst.10  10  12  12  14  14  17  18  18  17  15  13

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 6 to 7 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........53     41     14     10     11     13
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Surface wind....W 7    W 7    W 6    W 6    W 6    W 6
Surface wnd gst.12     9      8      8      9      10

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Surface winds (mph).North winds 6 to 9 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........13        6         3         2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Surface wind....W 6G10    NW 8G12   NW 8G13   NW 9G14

$$
Forecaster...Martello
Requested by...Leonard Smith OEM
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2413856.0/FWD
.DELDT 05/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Emergency.management@co.freestone.tx.us