Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 231043
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Buzzard Wildfire...Big Cypress
National Weather Service Miami FL
643 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light southeast winds this morning will become dominated by the
sea breeze from both the Gulf and Atlantic. This will allow for
a chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Minimum
relative humidity values will lower into the 50 percent range
with warm temperatures in the upper 80s. Dispersion increase to
above 40 by mid morning before decreasing to less than 30 by the
early evening. Light south wind expected tonight before veering
southwest early Tuesday. Slightly lower humidity values Tuesday
afternoon with temperatures into the 90s. There is a chance of
showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. A chance of showers and a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms early.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100,...then 1-8 strikes.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL...increasing to 2900-4300 ft
                    AGL early.
Transport winds.....Southeast 1 to 8 mph...becoming south 9 to 12
                    mph early.
Dispersion index....5...increasing to 23,...then increasing to 45
                    early...decreasing to 35 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  40  40  40  51  51  51  73  73  73  67
Weather cov.....PTY             CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....FOG             RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............69  70  72  79  81  84  86  87  88  88  87
RH..............96  97  93  77  72  63  57  53  52  52  53
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind dir..090 100 110 140 150 160 170 170 170 180 180
20 ft wind spd..1   2   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 ft wind gust.        4   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 1.2 2.1 2.9 3.4 3.9 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.1   2   5   8   12  12  10  9   10  10  10
Dispersion idx..1   2   8   23  40  47  49  33  35  37  36
LVORI...........9   6   5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  30  30  30  40  40  40  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). A chance of
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    through the night. Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes.
Mixing height.......1600-2900 ft AGL...decreasing to 300 ft AGL
                    until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....25...decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67  67  74  74  74  74  74  74  75  75  75  71
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............85  83  79  76  74  73  71  70  69  68  67  67
RH..............57  63  72  79  87  90  93  97  97  100 100 100
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind dir..180 190 190 200 230 240 220 190 170 170 180 180
20 ft wind spd..6   5   3   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 ft wind gust.7   6   5   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   7   5   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
Dispersion idx..25  13  3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
LVORI...........2   2   3   4   6   8   8   10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  50  50  50  40  40  40  30  30  30  30
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. A chance of showers and a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL...increasing to 4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 0 mph...becoming northwest 0
                    to 3 mph in the morning,...then increasing to
                    west 8 to 17 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....3...increasing to 69.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........71     70     70     70     67     67
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Temp............66     68     80     85     88     89
RH..............100    100    72     61     50     47
20 ft wind dir..S      N      SW     SW     SW     SW
20 ft wind dir..180    000    210    210    220    230
20 ft wind spd..0      0      3      3      3      5
20 ft wind gust.1      1      4      5      5      6
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    1900   3400   4700   4700
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 0   N 0    SW 8   SW 13  SW 14  W 17
Dispersion idx..0      1      19     44     55     69
LVORI...........10     10     3      1      1      1
Chc of pcpn (%).30     30     30     30     40     40
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2      2

$$
Forecaster...Torres
Requested by...Ody Anderson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1806261.15/MFL


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