Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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000
FNUS75 KPUB 200244
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for MM 117 Fire...CO_EPX
National Weather Service PUEBLO CO
844 PM MDT Thu Apr 19 2018

Forecast is based on request time of 2100 MDT on April 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Southeast winds will remain breezy overnight ahead of an approaching storm
system.  This will bring higher humidities to the region which has ended
the Red Flag conditions for the remainder of the evening.  For Friday,
breezy southeast winds will continue as a storm system approaches
with showers and isolated embedded thunderstorms possible after noon across
the burn site. Rainfall amounts of up to 0.20 will be possible through Saturday
morning.  Winds will shift from the north on Saturday as a cold front moves
through the region.  The outlook for the rest of the weekend into early next
week looks mainly dry with lighter winds and higher humidities.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....40-45F.
Max humidity........55-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 14-20 mph with gusts to around
                    30 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 29 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 0100. fair after 0300.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers until 1200,
                    then numerous showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Max temperature.....48-53F.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 15-25 mph with gusts to around
                    30 mph, shifting from the east to southeast at 10-15
                    mph with gusts to around 25 mph after 1600.  Gusty
                    and erratic winds possible near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous showers until 2100. scattered
                    thunderstorms until 2400, then scattered
                    showers.
LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
Min temperature.....32-37F.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10-15 mph with gusts to around 20
                    mph until 2400, then light wind until 0300,
                    then north around 9 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft agl until 2000, then 2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph until 0200, then north around
                    16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2000, then fair until 2100, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Scattered showers until 0900, then
                    isolated showers.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....52-57F.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 10-15 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph until 1300...then northeast 10-15 mph.
Mixing height.......7000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. good after 0900.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows 31 to 36. Highs 64 to 69. Light wind.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows 35 to 40. Highs 68 to 73. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms. Lows 36 to 41. Highs 58 to
63. North winds around 13 mph.

$$
Forecaster...TORGERSON
Requested by...Mark Tucker SITL RMA IMT2 Black
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1807122.1/PUB


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