Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS53 KAPX 180737
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
337 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

...Rain Showers Continue Today and Tonight...

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers are expected to return to northern Michigan by
late morning/early afternoon and continue into this evening. A
second round of heavier showers is anticipated for many areas this
evening into tonight. West winds between 5-10 mph will be in place
today, gusting to 15-20 mph at times through the afternoon. High
temperatures look to warm into the 50s for most areas today. RH
concerns are not expected today.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-182015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
337 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....50-55...except 40-45 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (434).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 2400, then rain likely.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.30 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....48-53...except 40-45 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier...except 16 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (2438).
Mixing Height.......7000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-182015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
337 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....53-58...except 42-47 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 18 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (479).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 2400, then rain.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.46 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Rain likely until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....51-56...except 42-47 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (2417).
Mixing Height.......7400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.13 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-182015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
337 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....51-56...except 38-43 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (353).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain likely
                    until 2400. Chance of rain after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (71).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.26 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....47-52...except 40-45 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (2581).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-182015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
337 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 1200, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (359).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain likely
                    until 2400, then chance of rain.
Min Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (62).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.31 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 46-51 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (2786).
Mixing Height.......7500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph increasing to around 33 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-182015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
337 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (468).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain likely
                    until 2400, then rain.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.19- 0.46 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (2547).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.13 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

DJC
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