Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS53 KAPX 190908
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
508 AM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...Quiet...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure in the plains and central Canada will
gradually move toward the western Great Lakes. Brisk northerly
winds will be seen today ahead of the high, bringing in drier air.
That will result in plenty of sunshine, with a brief period of
partly cloudy conditions possible mid to late morning. Winds
will be lighter on Friday, and temperatures will be warmer.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-192200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
508 AM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent...except 61-66 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (570).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....21-26.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....44-49...except around 41 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except 1 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (540).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-192200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
508 AM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....39-44...except 32-37 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (850).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....22-27.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 83-88 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....47-52...except 37-42 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (670).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-192200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
508 AM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (530).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....22-27...except 32-37 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....45-50...except 34-39 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (520).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-192200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
508 AM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (570).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....23-28.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph decreasing to around 6
                    mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....46-51...except 38-43 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 51-56 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (560).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-192200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
508 AM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....39-44.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (770).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....21-26.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (720).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

JZ



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