Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 220613
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
213 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

...No precipitation as our warming trend continues...

.DISCUSSION...Strong high pressure will remain firmly in charge of
the weather across Michigan through the early part of this week. No
precipitation is expected as our warming trend continues.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-222015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
213 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent...except 34-39 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (270).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....31-36.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (290).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-222015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
213 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent...except 41-46 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (260).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 0 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 3 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....28-33...except 35-40 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (340).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-222015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
213 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........17-22 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (330).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 40-45 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent...except 60-65 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (350).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-222015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
213 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........17-22 percent...except 27-32 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (390).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent...except 40-45 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (480).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-222015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
213 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........19-24 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (420).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 3 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....27-32.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (450).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MR



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