Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FNUS51 KBUF 042334
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
733 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A wave of low pressure will move from the Ohio Valley this evening
across the eastern Great Lakes overnight through Sunday, bringing a
round of widespread rain to the region. The rain will gradually
taper off to scattered showers from west to east Sunday, before
ending entirely Sunday night. High pressure will then build into the
Great Lakes Monday with a return to dry weather.

NYZ201-050800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
733 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud cover                     Mcldy       Cloudy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                     90           90           50            0
Precip type                   Showers      Showers        Tstms         None
Min/Max Temp                       49           65           49           69
AM Wind (mph)                                 S 11                      W  5
PM Wind (mph)                   SE  8         S 10         S  7        NW  6
Precip amount                    0.22         0.47         0.04         0.00
Precip duration                     5           10            2
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         6 AM
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           74          100           38
Haines Index                        2            2            2            4
LAL                                 1            3            3            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         2400           70         5950
Transport wind (kt)              S 19         S 24         S 17        NW  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1330        57600         1190        47600
Dispersion Index                    1           58            1           48
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-050800-
Southern Tier-
733 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                     90           80           50            0
Precip type                   Showers      Showers        Tstms         None
Min/Max Temp                       48           66           50           72
AM Wind (mph)                                 S 13                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                    S 12         S 12         S  6        NW  6
Precip amount                    0.19         0.17         0.03         0.00
Precip duration                     8            6            2
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         2 AM
Max/Min Humidity (%)               97           67          100           35
Haines Index                        2            2            2            4
LAL                                 1            3            3            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         2690           70         6140
Transport wind (kt)              S 24         S 17         S 15        NW  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1680        45730         1050        36840
Dispersion Index                    2           46            1           37
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...North around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...East 5 to 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$