264
FNUS53 KDTX 060714
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
314 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will be centered over Lake Huron today
and will sustain dry conditions, with afternoon RH values expected
to drop below 40 percent. High level clouds will inhibit full sun
today. A warm front will move into southern Michigan late Tuesday,
providing a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Warm and dry
conditions will then prevail again on Wednesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-062115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
314 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 8 am, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4680-5180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (476).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....40-44.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........81-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 pm until 5 pm, then rain
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3150-3650 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (592).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-062115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
314 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 8 am, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4110-4610 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (432).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3280-3780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (650).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-062115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
314 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4140-4640 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (488).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....42-46.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2520-3020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (509).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 60.
Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s.

$$

SC