Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 240735
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
335 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...Increasing coverage of showers is the primary
element of fire weather parameters today. This will maintain cooler
temperature and higher humidity compared to the last few days. The
rain lasts through tonight before a cold front sweeps the moisture
out of the area. The front will be followed by moderate north wind
and cooler air through Wednesday night. High pressure then returns
briefly Thursday with another weak cold front due Friday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-241915-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
335 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 6 am then showers likely.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3120-3620 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon then decreasing to around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (410).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph becoming north in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......950-1150 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming north around 20
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 8 am then a slight chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4870-5370 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (960).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-241915-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
335 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers until 6 am then chance of showers
                    until noon then showers likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph becoming southeast.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5160-5660 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (830).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming north
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......540-740 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming northwest
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 8 am then a slight chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3540-4040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 25 mph increasing to around 35 mph
                    in the late morning and early afternoon then
                    decreasing to around 25 mph early in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (940).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-241915-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
335 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 11 am then showers likely.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (620).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........89-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming north
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1130-1330 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 8 am then a slight chance of. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3250-3750 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (850).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper
50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s.

$$

AA



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