Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 201919
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
319 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

...Increasingly Warm and Remaining Dry Through Early Next Week...

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and mild weather will hold through early next week with high
pressure in control of the weather over the region. Temperatures
will gradually increase a couple/few degrees each day through next
Tuesday. Some areas will likely approach 70 degrees next Monday and
Tuesday. Lake breezes can be expected each day near the lakeshore.


MIZ037>039-043>045-210830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
319 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....27-32.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1400-1900
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....52-57 near Lake Michigan and around 60 inland.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6600-7100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 0 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....29-34.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........70-75 percent near Lake Michigan and 80-85
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier near Lake Michigan and
                    7 percent drier inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 0-400 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and 2 degrees
                    warmer inland.
Min humidity........31-36 percent near Lake Michigan and 23-28
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter near Lake Michigan, and 4 percent
                    wetter inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6200-6700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-210830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
319 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 29.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....North 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7200-7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 31.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........25 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-210830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
319 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 32.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 800-1300 ft
                    AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6000-6500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 0 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 100-600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 1900-2400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5900-6400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-210830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
319 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 32.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 0 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....32-37.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-210830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
319 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 34.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300-6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds 5 to
9 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds
5 to 7 mph shifting to the east overnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s. North winds 6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

$$



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