Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 212019
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
419 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

...Occasional Showers Tonight Then Slowly Drying Out Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...
Rain will become more scattered overnight but will linger into
Tuesday morning. Mostly cloudy skies on Tuesday will keep
temperatures cool and mixing heights low. Warmer weather will
return on Wednesday and remain in place through the rest of the
week.


MIZ037>039-043>045-220830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
419 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Patchy fog. Rain
                    showers likely until 2100. rain likely after
                    2100 until 2300, then a chance of rain.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.28 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1000. Slight chance of rain showers until 1100.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent early in the morning.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3200-3700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2900-3400
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent near Lake Michigan and 35-40
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 20
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5000-5500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-220830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
419 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 2100, then rain likely until 0100, then a
                    chance of rain. Patchy fog after 0100.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.15-0.31 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1000. Slight chance of rain showers until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-220830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
419 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog. Chance of
                    rain showers until 2100. chance of rain after
                    2100. slight chance of thunderstorms after 0200
                    until 0500.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.29 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1700, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 0900. patchy fog after 0900 until 1000.
                    Slight chance of rain showers until 1100.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent early in the morning.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3100-3600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2500-3000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73 near Lake Michigan and around 76 inland.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and 12
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3400-3900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-220830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
419 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog. Rain
                    showers likely until 2100. rain likely after
                    2100 until 2200, then a chance of rain.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.20-0.37 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1000. Slight chance of rain showers until 1200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-220830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
419 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog. Rain
                    showers likely until 2100. chance of rain after
                    2100. slight chance of thunderstorms after 0200
                    until 0500.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.43 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1000. Slight chance of rain showers until 1700.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
5 to 6 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 7 to
12 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
70s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$



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