Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
625 FNUS73 KDLH 052020 FWSDLH Spot Forecast for Hay Creek Shooting Range Berms...WI DNR National Weather Service Duluth MN 320 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 06. If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653. .DISCUSSION... Monday should be a mostly sunny day with no chance for precipitation until the overnight hours. We will see a day with ample mixing, increasing to around 5000 feet by mid day with excellent smoke dispersal. This will allow breezy southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts 15-20 mph in the afternoon. This good low level mixing will also make for good drying in the afternoon, with relative humidity dropping into the low 30 percent range. Rain should begin to arrive overnight, continuing through Tuesday. A half inch to three quarters of an inch of rain is expected by Wednesday morning. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........34 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 5300 ft AGL late in the morning. Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (16400-31100 knot-ft) increasing to excellent (62600-72200 knot-ft). Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............52 60 63 64 67 68 68 69 70 RH..............61 47 43 40 36 34 34 35 35 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..6 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 20 FT wind gust.9 11 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.9 4.7 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.0 Transp wind dir.SE S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.10 10 10 12 12 13 13 15 15 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SDspl kt-ft/100016 31 42 51 56 63 69 72 70 .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 48. Max humidity........80 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph. Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL decreasing to 1600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (63500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor to fair (8900-22100 knot-ft). Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky cover.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............68 63 54 52 49 48 RH..............37 46 64 71 80 80 20 ft wind......SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 SE 11 SE 12 20 ft wind gust.14 14 14 16 18 19 Mix hgt (ft)....4500 800 700 800 800 800 Transport wind..S 15 S 14 SE 15 SE 16 SE 16 SE 17 Haines index....3 5 5 5 5 5 SDspl kt-ft/100064 10 9 11 10 11 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. LAL.................1 until 1600, then 2. Max temperature.....Around 61. Min humidity........64 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph late in the afternoon. Gusts up to 32 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 25 mph decreasing to 12 to 14 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (19400-35100 knot-ft) increasing to fair to good (28100-46000 knot-ft) in the late morning and early afternoon, then decreasing to fair (13700-23600 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.46 inches. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY Weather cov..... DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 90 90 90 90 90 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 2 Temp............48 53 57 55 54 55 RH..............80 69 64 74 80 77 20 ft wind......SE 13 SE 17 SE 20 SE 18 SE 15 SE 11 20 ft wind gust.21 26 29 26 21 18 Mix hgt (ft)....1100 1700 2100 1800 1500 1400 Transport wind..SE 21 SE 24 SE 25 SE 23 SE 18 SE 14 Haines index....5 3 3 3 3 3 SDspl kt-ft/100019 35 46 36 24 17 $$ Forecaster...Ketzel Requested by...Tom Onchuck Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413214.0/DLH .DELDT 05/05/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL thomas.onchuck@wisconsin.gov