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000
FNUS75 KGJT 172100
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Brush Creek RX...Eagle Valley Wildland
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
300 PM MDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 MDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Breezy conditions will continue today and again on
Thursday as a storm system remains to the north. Isolated showers
are possible this evening but the chance of wetting rain is low.
Could see outflow winds up to 45 mph near any passing showers.
Breezy conditions will allow for good mixing and smoke dispersal.
Dry weather is expected for Thursday though the neighboring higher
terrain could see a passing shower.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 18 to 22 mph with gusts to around 35
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Rising to 4700 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....West 25 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....31-36.
Max humidity........69-74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 to 20 mph in the early evening,
                    becoming southeast 4 to 8 mph after sunset and
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good quickly decreasing to poor overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL decreasing to 550 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West 22 mph becoming south 5 to 10 mph
                    overnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor through mid morning, then fair. Increasing
                    to very good and then good by midday. Becoming
                    excellent in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL by peak
                    heating.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph through mid morning, then
                    becoming west 15 to 25 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Megan Stackhouse
Requested by...Hugh Fairfield-smith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410636.6/GJT
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL hfairfield-smith@eagleriverfire.org