Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 251238
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
838 AM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Cool and dry high pressure will build in through early this
week with a return to more seasonable temperatures by Tuesday.
Rain chances will return with the next cold front Wednesday
into Thursday. Dry high pressure will build in behind the cold
front into Friday with a warming trend through the weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-260445-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
838 AM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 65 38 69
Min/Max RH (%) 47 93 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 NE 4 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 6 NE 4 E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 40/0800 1900 46/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 2800
Transport Wind (mph) NE 12 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43200 25200
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 41 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 45 Gen Good 7 Poor 24 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
74 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. East winds 15 to
20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-260445-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
838 AM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 64 39 69
Min/Max RH (%) 39 89 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G17 Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 NE 4 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 40/0900 1900 46/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3000
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43200 30000
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 54 Gen Good 18 Gen Poor
ADI Late 50 Gen Good 7 Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 79 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-260445-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
838 AM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 63 40 67
Min/Max RH (%) 50 92 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G17 Lgt/Var E 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 6 G17 NE 4 E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 40/0800 2000 50/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 2600
Transport Wind (mph) E 13 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45500 31200
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 41 Gen Good 24 Fair
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 7 Poor 29 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 81 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-260445-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
838 AM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 63 39 68
Min/Max RH (%) 42 91 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 Lgt/Var E 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 39/0900 2000 45/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3500
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51800 52500
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 21 Fair
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 9 Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$