Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
325
FNUS52 KILM 101854
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
254 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms will impact the area late
this afternoon and early this evening. Some storms could be severe.
The front will move off the coast this evening. High pressure
with near normal temps and lower daytime RH will dominate this
weekend and early next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-111100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
254 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 90 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 5 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 54 76 54 81
Max/Min RH (%) 91 41 89 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 5 N 6 Lgt/Var NW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 6 G17 NW 5 Lgt/Var NW 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 11 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 56/0600 2000 64/0900
Dispersion Fair Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 7900
Transport Wind (mph) NW 13 NW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 87100 158000
ADI Early 29 Fair 58 Gen Good 83 Good 107 Very Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 95 Good 5 Very Poor 150 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-111100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
254 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 80 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 5 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 54 75 55 80
Max/Min RH (%) 91 39 88 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 5 N 5 Lgt/Var NW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 5 NW 5 Lgt/Var NW 9 G17
Precip Amount 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 56/0600 2000 63/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 7800
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 NW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 95200 140400
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 61 Good 99 Good 102 Very Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 114 Very Good5 Very Poor 148 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-111100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
254 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 70 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 5 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 54 75 55 80
Max/Min RH (%) 91 42 91 36
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 6 N 5 Lgt/Var NW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 5 NW 5 Lgt/Var NW 7
Precip Amount 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 58/0800 2000 64/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 7000
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 NW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105000 112000
ADI Early 40 Fair 57 Gen Good 96 Good 85 Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 115 Very Good5 Very Poor 124 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-111100-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
254 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 70 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 5 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 53 76 54 80
Max/Min RH (%) 90 39 90 35
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 6 N 4 Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 5 NW 4 Lgt/Var NW 7
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 56/0800 2000 63/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 7100
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 NW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 102000 106500
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 56 Gen Good 106 Very Good81 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 118 Very Good5 Very Poor 119 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 3 6
Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-111100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
254 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 70 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 5 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 53 76 55 80
Max/Min RH (%) 90 39 90 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 7 N 5 Lgt/Var NW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 6 NW 5 Lgt/Var NW 8
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 9 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 57/0800 2000 63/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 7200
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 NW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 103500 115200
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 51 Gen Good 105 Very Good96 Good
ADI Late 12 Poor 116 Very Good5 Very Poor 129 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 3 6
Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21