Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

000
FNUS53 KJKL 182106
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
506 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather will continue into the late evening, before
showers and storms arrive ahead of a cold front tonight and
continue into Friday as the front crosses eastern Kentucky. Rain
chances will end from west to east by evening. Dry weather is
expected on Saturday along with cooler temperatures. This cooler
weather pattern will continue to start next week with mainly
precipitation free weather into Tuesday. Humidity is expected to
bottom out near 30 percent or below for many areas on Saturday
afternoon and Monday afternoon.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-190830-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
506 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Chance precip (%)     70           70           0            0
Precip type           tstms        tstms        None         None
Temp (24H TREND)      54-63 (+6)   64-67 (-16)  37-46        61-64
Rh % (24H TREND)      78-100 (+7)  51-73 (+47)  65-100       27-37
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    W 5-9 G17                 NW 4-8 G16
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       SE 2-6       NW 5-9 G17   N 3-7        NW 7-11 G18
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          1 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   5 PM
Precip amount         0.10         0.07         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            3            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3000                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)                N 15                      W 18
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  39000                     96000
ADI Early             7            41           7            108
ADI Late              10           53           6            119
Max LVORI Early       3            5            3            4
Max LVORI Late        6            3            4            2

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-190830-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
506 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     80           60           0            0
Precip type           tstms        tstms        None         None
Temp (24H TREND)      55-63 (+6)   65-68 (-14)  38-47        63-66
Rh % (24H TREND)      84-100 (+2)  55-88 (+53)  75-100       26-42
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    SW 4-8 G15                N 4-8 G13
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       S 2-6        NW 5-9 G16   N 3-7 G13    NW 5-9 G14
Precip duration       2            2
Precip begin          1 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.32         0.15         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            3            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 2200                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      NW 15
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  24200                     71500
ADI Early             8            34           9            79
ADI Late              10           33           7            90
Max LVORI Early       3            5            4            4
Max LVORI Late        6            4            5            2

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ079-083-190830-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
506 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     80           50           0            0
Precip type           tstms        tstms        None         None
Temp (24H TREND)      59-63 (+4)   65-68 (-15)  40-45        63-66
Rh % (24H TREND)      90-100 (+1)  62-78 (+38)  80-96        28-39
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    W 5-9 G14                 N 4-8 G14
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       S 3-7 G13    N 6-10 G15   N 4-8        NW 5-9 G14
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          12 AM
Precip end            Continuing
Precip amount         0.44         0.05         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            3            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 2200                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)                N 13                      NW 14
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  24200                     64800
ADI Early             10           28           7            81
ADI Late              10           35           7            87
Max LVORI Early       4            6            4            4
Max LVORI Late        7            4            5            2

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-190830-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
506 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Chance precip (%)     70           70           0            0
Precip type           tstms        tstms        None         None
Temp (24H TREND)      54-63 (+7)   67-70 (-12)  37-46        62-65
Rh % (24H TREND)      78-100 (+4)  56-82 (+55)  75-100       27-38
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    SW 4-8 G16                NW 3-7
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      NW 3-7 G15   N 2-6        NW 5-9 G15
Precip duration       1            2
Precip begin          3 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.13         0.20         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            3            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 2700                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)                W 15                      NW 17
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  35100                     90000
ADI Early             5            46           8            82
ADI Late              10           42           7            111
Max LVORI Early       3            5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        6            4            6            2

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Warmer. Lows
in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

JP