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000
FXUS64 KLZK 120558
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1258 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

A calm and drier period is expected in the short term as high
pressure will takeover the weather pattern. Clouds and rain have
since moved east of the state as clear skies are being observed
across the CWA. Currently, northwesterly winds could be gusty
through the afternoon hours before becoming calmer by this evening
and Friday. A wind advisory remains in effect until 20Z this
afternoon.

Temperatures are expected to be more average to slightly above
average tonight into Saturday. High temperatures are expected to be
in the lower 70s to lower 80s with overnight lows in the lower 40s
to lower 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

To begin the period, high pressure will control the weather pattern
promoting calm and dry conditions. A pattern change is expected by
Monday afternoon as an upper level trough dives into the area. This
will bring another round of unsettled weather to the beginning and
middle of the workweek with chances for rain and thunderstorms.

For Monday into Tuesday, a low pressure system is expected to move
out of the Central Plains dragging a cold front across the state.
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible along and ahead of the
front. Models guidance continues to suggest severe weather could
be possible for portions of central and northern Arkansas during
this time. With that said, we are still several days out so please
continue to check back for additional updates or changes to the
forecast.

An additional system will move into the state Wednesday into
Thursday as a low pressure system moves out of TX/LA into the
state. While severe weather chances appear low with this
system...changes to the forecast are possible. Regardless, it
appears another round of heavy rain will be returning to the state
early next week.

Temperatures are expected to be above average through the period.
High temperatures are expected to be in the upper 70s to upper 80s
with overnight lows in the upper 50s to upper 60s. These above
average temperatures will be aided by southerly flow through the
period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

VFR conds will prevail through the TAF period. Light Wrly winds
overnight will give way to W/NW winds, gusting between 10-20 kts
Fri late morning into afternoon. Winds will relax overnight Fri
night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     73  52  82  61 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         75  50  81  57 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       71  50  80  60 /   0   0   0  10
Hot Springs AR    75  50  80  59 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  76  53  83  61 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     75  53  81  60 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      76  50  80  58 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  71  48  82  58 /   0   0   0  10
Newport AR        72  49  81  60 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     74  51  80  58 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   75  50  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         74  48  81  57 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      72  51  79  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM....73
AVIATION...70