Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
681
FNUS52 KILM 031908
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
308 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop this weekend
as due to several upper level disturbances and localized low
pressure. High pressure will build overhead by Tuesday with
well above normal temperatures likely during the middle and late
portions of next week. Rain chances increase towards the end of
next week due to an approaching frontal system.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-041115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
308 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 20 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 2
Min/Max Temp 62 81 63 81
Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 99 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 S 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 6 SE 4 S 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0900 2000 67/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4 3
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 3700
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 59200
ADI Early 38 Fair 35 Fair 55 Gen Good 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 61 Good 8 Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 9 2 8 2
Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 0 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 0 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-041115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
308 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 60
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 63 83 64 82
Max/Min RH (%) 100 53 100 58
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 S 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 SE 4 S 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.07
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 70/0900 2000 67/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 3
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 3800
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68600 60800
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 38 Fair 57 Gen Good 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 63 Good 8 Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 8 5 8
Max LVORI Late 9 1 8 2
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 0 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 0 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability E B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-041115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
308 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 63 82 64 81
Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 100 64
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 SE 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 6 SE 4 S 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.08
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 71/0900 2000 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 3800
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 57000
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 40 Fair 53 Gen Good 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 57 Gen Good 9 Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 9 2 8 3
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 0 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 0 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-041115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
308 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 40 40 60
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 63 82 63 82
Max/Min RH (%) 99 56 100 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 S 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SE 4 S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.10
Precip Duration 2 2 5
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 68/0800 2000 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4400
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49200 61600
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 37 Fair 34 Fair 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 44 Gen Good 9 Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 8 2 8 3
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 0 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 0 Fog 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO