Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 220748
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
348 AM EDT Tue May 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will become more
numerous Wednesday into Thursday as a cold front sags into the
area from the north before slowly dissipating Friday. The holiday
weekend looks unsettled as a tropical airmass brings the likelihood
for showers and thunderstorms and possibly more heavy rain, especially
Sunday into Monday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate.

NCZ105>110-230000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
348 AM EDT Tue May 22 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            70
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          86           69           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         SW  4        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.32
Precip duration                                 4
Inversion             74/0900      2100         76/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        53           99           59
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5610                      4390
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 17
Ventilation rate      72930                     74630
ADI early             34 Fair      56 Gen good  25 Fair
ADI late              59 Gen good  3 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            8
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-230000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
348 AM EDT Tue May 22 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            80
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            4
Min/Max Temp          86           68           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         SW  4        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.40
Precip duration       0                         5
Inversion             73/0900      2100         75/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        50           98           58
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5580                      4490
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     SW 16
Ventilation rate      66960                     71840
ADI early             29 Fair      58 Gen good  28 Fair
ADI late              60 Gen good  3 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           5            8
Max LVORI late        1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-230000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
348 AM EDT Tue May 22 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          85           69           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         SW  3        SW  8
Precip amount         0.03         0.01         0.32
Precip duration       1            1            4
Inversion             74/0900      2100         76/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        55           99           59
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5590                      4340
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10                      SW 12
Ventilation rate      55900                     52080
ADI early             20 Gen poor  38 Fair      24 Fair
ADI late              42 Gen good  3 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
348 AM EDT Tue May 22 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            4
Min/Max Temp          86           68           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         SW  3        SW  7
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.40
Precip duration       1            1            5
Inversion             73/0900      2100         74/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        50           99           59
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5800                      4630
Transport wnd (mph)   S 14                      W 15
Ventilation rate      81200                     69450
ADI early             21 Fair      42 Gen good  28 Fair
ADI late              42 Gen good  3 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           5            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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