Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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FNUS71 KRNK 211700
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Coffee Pot...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
100 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 EDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will be situated over the area today into tonight,
then shift off the mid-Atlantic Coast Sunday allowing for more
of a southeast flow to occur with increasing clouds, followed by
rain for Monday. This afternoon will be the driest, and best day to
burn, as Sunday will see more clouds and humidity levels rising
to the 40s for min RH.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 6 to 7 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................24.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0
Temp............62  62
RH..............21  22
20 FT wind dir..S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 5.7
Mixng wind dir..SW  SW
Mixng wind spd..6   7
LVORI...........2   2
ADI.............23  24
Haines index....4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast 2 to 8 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................25 decreasing to 2.
Haines Index........2 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........24     33     61     80     70     76
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............61     56     52     49     47     45
RH..............28     35     47     52     58     63
20 ft wind......S 5    S 3    SE 2   E 1    E 2    E 1
20 ft wind gust.6      5             2             2
Mix hgt (ft)....5000   3500   1400   400    300    300
Mixing wind......SW 7   S 8    SE 3   E 2    E 2    NE 2
LVORI...........2      2      2      2      3      3
ADI.............25     3      2      1      1      1
Haines index....4      3      4      3      2      2

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph early in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 1 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 increasing to 29.
Haines Index........2 to 3 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........70     86     74     81     72     73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............43     45     51     57     60     63
RH..............70     70     58     50     46     44
20 ft wind......E 1    E 1    S 3    S 4    S 5    S 6
20 ft wind gust.2      2      4      6      6      10
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    1800   3100   4300   5100
Mixing wind......E 1    SE 1   S 3    S 7    S 8    S 9
LVORI...........4      4      2      2      2      2
ADI.............1      1      9      16     24     30
Haines index....2      3      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Perry
Requested by...Nick Jeros
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807163.2/RNK
.DELDT 04/21/18



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