Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
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333 FXUS61 KBGM 021708 AFDBGM Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 108 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Dry weather has returned thru Friday. Temperatures will remain above average for early May. Then, a brief cool down with periods of rain showers is expected for the upcoming weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... 945 AM Update... The weak cold front has pushed through slightly faster than anticipated, and will keep high temperatures in the low to mid 60s for northern Central NY. Otherwise, forecast remains on track. 330 AM Update... A weak cold front is pushing through the region early this morning and just kicking off a few isolated sprinkles, but not expecting anymore than a trace of rain from any of these. Ridging begins to build into the area today NW flow advecting in cooler air from the Twin Tiers northward, so high temperatures will be a little cooler this afternoon. However, the cooler air may not make it further south into the Scranton/Wilkes Barre area, so highs here will likely be similar to what we saw on Wednesday. Dry weather will continue through the period with another great day expected on Thursday with temperatures a few degrees warmer than today. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... 1245 PM Update... A slow-moving cold front sweeping across the area Saturday will bring rounds of rain showers Saturday and into Sunday night. Temperatures will decrease from the mid- to high-70s Friday to the high-50s to mid-60s Saturday and Sunday as that slow-moving cold front moves through Central NY and NE PA. Currently, total precipitation ranges from up to an inch in northern portions of Central NY to up to a half of an inch elsewhere Saturday morning through Sunday evening. Additionally, there are chances for non-severe afternoon thunderstorms on Sunday, mainly for the Twin Tiers and NE PA. These are subject to change as model guidance attempts to predict the speed of progression the front moves. The slower the front progresses, the higher the total precipitation will likely be. We`ll keep monitoring the progression of this front as we head into the weekend. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... 1245 PM Update... Lingering showers can be expected Monday as the aforementioned slow-moving cold front exits our area. A weak warm front is expected to move into the area heading into the mid-week, with temperatures increasing back to the mid- to high-70s by Wednesday. Overall a generally quiet weather pattern with some nuisance rain showers, and chances for afternoon thunderstorms. && .AVIATION /17Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... VFR conditions continue at all terminals, with gusty winds starting to decrease around the late afternoon-evening timeframe. There is a small chance for fog at ELM/ITH/RME early Friday morning, however, confidence is too low to add to the forecast at this time. Outlook... Friday...Mainly VFR, but evening showers/t`storms possible. Saturday into Monday...Restrictions possible in showers and thunderstorms. && .BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...MPK/TAC NEAR TERM...KL/MPK SHORT TERM...KL LONG TERM...KL AVIATION...KL