Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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244
WUUS01 KWNS 161954
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2024

VALID TIME 162000Z - 171200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   36419201 37848931 37558791 36638797 35998942 35709091
       35749196 36419201
0.02   27549537 28479661 28609800 29509933 30140041 30880218
       31190265 31720252 31850158 31680102 31039864 31179747
       31499569 31839372 31329151 31028947 30788834 30558781
       30198775 29728782 29178806
0.05   28799437 29659677 29909761 30319859 30759854 30839792
       30969708 31129566 31229396 30909245 30409220 28869275
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   35569017 35239123 34939278 34939393 35299430 35899437
       36529366 37019253 38039068 38318912 38158838 37488773
       36658801 35569017
0.05   33980186 33399971 32789566 32469365 31939155 31609018
       30898978 30049011 29729169 29699222 29439411 28719569
       28479637 28149686 28479831 29860061 30230172 30780339
       32000499 32650509 33200488 34380409 34470368 33980186
0.05   25707931 25608004 25668058 25968160 26348163 26638079
       27208041 27177952
0.05   42118919 42008980 42238988 43528942 43948925 44358889
       44388843 44288794 44028763 43198772 42458796 42118919
0.15   31560338 33250393 33490393 33540371 33040276 32880243
       32660112 32099937 31759809 31699604 31729376 31339280
       30829227 30279229 30019263 29749325 29319488 29139718
       29609869 29839988 30430135 30930231 31560338
SIGN   30920230 31330300 31620296 31870256 31840187 31100027
       30889894 30849751 30289692 29499721 29609867 29849976
       30510135 30920230
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   27639592 28129687 28469833 29880065 30800343 31620446
       32000499 32750508 33210487 33860445 34100411 33990322
       33590207 32959953 32689738 32829595 32479368 31919156
       31508982 31318868 30838654 29808630 29228649
0.05   42098927 42098972 43068961 43998859 43878776 43308772
       42478797 42098927
0.05   35849444 36559366 37119229 38049067 38318915 38148831
       37448771 36698790 35948939 35529028 35229121 34939278
       34919395 35279433 35849444
0.05   25677928 25608003 25688066 26098151 26438150 26768069
       27248042 27207957
0.15   28799440 29059502 28789556 28459670 28679805 29749973
       30289991 30409960 30529868 30839818 31059777 31169670
       31369626 31669486 31689379 31089134 30698960 30318938
       29988929 29658958 28679146
0.15   30790193 31620342 32360349 32440321 32020224 31760156
       31540109 31140102 30760127 30790193
0.30   29609623 29819744 29929778 30109791 30529763 30759716
       30779617 31239432 30929245 30699229 30309230 30069249
       29609623
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    30529763 30759716 30779617 31239432 30929245 30699229
       30309230 30069249 29609623 29819744 29929778 30109791
       30529763
SLGT   28869458 29039505 28789556 28459670 28679805 29819975
       30430135 31510338 33280393 33480393 33550373 32900247
       32660112 31759809 31729376 30698960 29988929 29658958
       28679146
MRGL   25657951 25608004 25668058 25968160 26348163 26758071
       27248042 27207957
MRGL   27749613 28129687 28469833 29870063 30780339 32000499
       32750508 33200488 34380409 34470368 33399971 32479368
       31508982 30838654 29808630
MRGL   36559366 37029252 38049067 38318912 38148831 37448771
       36638797 35569017 35229121 34939278 34919395 35279433
       35849444 36559366
MRGL   43948925 44358889 44388843 44288794 44028763 43198772
       42458796 42008980 42238988 43948925
TSTM   36588046 38477970 39097922 39097861 38307799 36867813
       36187856 35967915 35978008 36588046 99999999 42947990
       41318024 40038136 39178348 35368661 33818738 30618599
       29488590 29048612 99999999 26878297 27997977 99999999
       25027970 25168097 25158259 99999999 40017283 40627276
       41387269 41817200 41736875 99999999 50089599 47629493
       46129488 45039557 44749767 44649958 44780176 44930456
       45030645 45040756 45260839 45730892 46630920 47530963
       50001197 99999999 31150769 31780962 31531125 31971187
       33611273 34111297 34991329 35361292 35631192 35521124
       35851013 36470982 37660923 40010621 39780478 38790415
       37920416 36630299 35920156 35780027 35789897 35869741
       37129633 38639515 40579297 42659007 44668935 46138883
       47408486 99999999 29420195 29760215 30150266 30760451
       30850592

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE
AUS 30 SSE TPL 20 NE CLL 25 E LFK 35 SSW ESF 40 NNW LFT 20 WNW LFT
30 NW 7R4 55 NW LBX 35 E BAZ 20 NE BAZ 20 SW AUS 15 NNE AUS.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE
GLS 25 ESE LBX 25 SSW LBX 30 SSE VCT 30 NW NIR 45 NW HDO 60 ENE 6R6
20 SSW INK 35 E ROW 35 ENE ROW 50 ENE ROW 45 ENE HOB 40 NE BGS 35 S
SEP 40 W IER 25 NNE ASD 30 SSW GPT 25 NNW BVE 80 SW HUM.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE
MIA 20 SE MIA 20 WSW MIA 15 SE APF 15 NNE APF 40 W PBI 30 S VRB 50
NE PBI.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S
PSX 45 ENE CRP 40 W NIR 40 NNE DRT 30 WSW FST 15 NW GDP 50 SW ROW 20
WSW ROW 45 W CVS 20 WNW CVS 65 N ABI 10 E SHV 30 W PIB CEW 45 SW
PFN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
UMN 40 WNW UNO 25 NW FAM 15 W MVN 35 ESE MVN 35 WSW OWB 25 W HOP 35
SE JBR 45 SE BVX 30 SE RUE 35 SE FSM FSM 20 SW FYV 25 SSE UMN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W
OSH 30 NNW OSH 15 WSW GRB 15 NW MTW 10 SSE MTW 20 NNE MKE 25 SSW RAC
40 WSW RFD 40 W RFD 35 W OSH.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE PSK 30 SSE EKN
35 ENE EKN 40 WSW MRB 25 ENE CHO 10 NNW AVC 25 NNE RDU 20 WNW RDU 15
SW GSO 40 SSE PSK ...CONT... 60 W BUF 20 WSW FKL 30 ENE ZZV 50 E LUK
50 N HSV 40 WNW BHM 35 NW PFN 55 SSW PFN 80 SW AAF ...CONT... 45 SW
SRQ 45 ENE VRB ...CONT... 65 SE MIA 30 N MTH 65 NW EYW ...CONT... 55
SSE ISP 20 SE ISP 25 ENE BDR 30 W PVD 75 ENE ACK ...CONT... 85 NNW
RRT BJI 30 NE AXN 40 NW RWF 30 WSW ATY 40 ENE PIR 50 N PHP 55 SE 4BQ
30 NE SHR 35 WNW SHR 40 S BIL 20 WSW BIL 30 SSE LWT 35 NNW LWT 95 N
CTB ...CONT... 75 S DMN 20 N DUG 45 SSW TUS 55 W TUS 45 WNW PHX 50
SW PRC 40 ESE IGM 55 NNW PRC 25 SSE GCN 35 NE FLG 65 NNE INW 80 SSW
4BL 15 ENE 4BL 45 ENE EGE DEN 30 E COS 30 SE PUB 15 NE CAO 20 NNW
BGD 65 E BGD 35 NNE CSM 35 NNE OKC 30 NW BVO 25 WSW OJC 40 NW IRK 40
ENE DBQ 20 ESE CWA 40 WNW IMT 70 NNW ANJ ...CONT... 45 SSE 6R6 20 S
6R6 30 WNW 6R6 40 NW MRF 70 SSE ELP.