143
FXUS65 KLKN 011959
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1259 PM PDT Wed May 1 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Look for a weak upper-level disturbance to move just
north of northern Nevada. This will bring a few rain and higher
elevation snow showers to this area along with gusty west winds
across central Nevada Thursday. Dry and warmer for Friday before a
robust low pressure system brings active weather and much cooler
temperatures into the region over the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday night. Skies are mostly
sunny across the forecast area today. Winds will continue to
remain breezy for the rest of the afternoon though will diminish
during the overnight hours. Clouds are expected to be on the
increase tonight with overnight lows in the 20s and 30s.

For Thursday and Thursday night, a shortwave upper trough will be
moving southeast through the flow. This will bring isolated to
scattered light showers across mainly northern Nevada, along and
north of I-80. The valley locations will see light rain or
sprinkles. Winds will be breezy to locally windy with west to
northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 30 to 40 mph. Highs
will be in the 50s and 60s. The threat for rain showers will shift
east through Thursday night with showers ending from west to east
in northern Nevada. Clouds are expected to scatter out during the
overnight with lows in the 20s and 30s.

.LONG TERM...Friday through next Wednesday. A shortwave ridge is
expected to move through the area quickly on Friday, bringing
quiet and dry conditions to the region. Winds will be less than 20
mph and high temperatures will be in the 60s and 70s. A fairly
potent upper level low pressure system will be moving east,
bringing and increase in the cloudiness Saturday morning. Winds
are expected to remain light with lows in the 30s and 40s.

On Saturday, the upper low is forecast just west of Oregon. Out
ahead of the system, strong southwest winds will develop across
northern and central Nevada. Wind gusts to 50 mph are possible
across central Nevada with wind gusts to 35 mph in northern
Nevada. Afternoon highs will be warm with readings in the 70s.
This is looking like a fairly wet system with amounts of a quarter
to half inch of precipitation for Saturday with snow levels
remaining above 8500 to 9000 feet. Winds will be strong to very
strong with speeds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts in the 50s mph. For
Saturday night through Monday, the upper level system is expected
to move across the forecast area through this timeframe. Look for
snow levels lower to about 4500 to 5000 feet during the night.
Light snow showers are possible in the valley locations with some
of the locations in central Nevada receiving one to three inches
along US Highway 50. Highs Sunday and Monday will be in the 40s
and 50s, with lows in the 20s and 30s.

Northwest flow continues for Monday through Wednesday with light
off and on showers over the region. Highs will be in the 50s and
60s with lows in the 20s and 30s. Winds will be breezy to locally
windy each afternoon with gusts of 30 to 40 mph in the windier
locales.

&&

.AVIATION...Look for VFR conditions through the 24 hour period.
VCSH possible across the northern TAF sites of KWMC-KBAM-KEKO by
late morning. Winds will increase after 18Z W-NW10-20G30-35KT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across several streams,
creeks, and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to
continued snow melt. Colder temperatures, mostly in the 20s, are
expected tonight with high probabilities of near 100% of falling
to or below freezing which will inhibit rapid snow melt. Dry
conditions are expected across northern Nevada today. A weather
disturbance will bring a few showers to northeastern Nevada
Thursday but will only a few hundredths of an inch is expected
across the Jarbidge area.

The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain is currently in minor flood
stage and is forecast remain in minor flood stage for the next
several days.

The Humboldt River at Comus continues to slowly rise and is now in
minor flood stage and is expected to remain within minor flood
stage.

The Owyhee River near Wildhorse is currently in action stage and
is forecast to gradually fall over the next several days, but
remain in action stage.

The Owyhee River near Mountain City has fallen below minor flood
stage and is expected to gradually fall further through this
week, but remain in action stage.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

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