Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
991 FXUS65 KLKN 100801 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 101 AM PDT Fri May 10 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Look for another round of isolated to scattered afternoon rain showers and isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and early evening, along with afternoon breezes. The warming trend will continue throughout the weekend. Mostly dry and quiet weather is expected next week though there is a low probability for afternoon isolated rain showers and thunderstorms. && .SHORT TERM...Today through Saturday night. Skies are partly cloudy to mostly clear at this time. For today, upper level low pressure will be spinning across southeastern Utah. This closed low pressure system will meander to the west and will take up a position in southern Nevada later this evening. Isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop over eastern and central Nevada. Rainfall accumulations will be light. Highs will be in the 60s and 70s. Winds will be out of the east and northeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph for much of the area. Conditions will settle for the overnight with lows in the 30s and 40s. The upper level low is forecast to shift east for Saturday and Saturday night with isolated showers mainly confined to eastern Nevada and portions of central Nevada, though again rainfall amounts will be rather light. Highs will be in the 60s and 70s with north to northeast winds gusting to 25 mph. Quieter conditions will ensue for Saturday night with lows in the 40s. .LONG TERM...Sunday through next Friday. Upper level ridging is forecast to move over northern and central Nevada on Sunday. This will bring warm conditions in the 70s and 80s and occasionally breezy winds with gusts to 20 mph. Quiet and clear conditions persist for the night with lows in the 40s. On Monday, all models are showing an upper trough moving through northern and central Nevada. Isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible mainly in northeastern Nevada. Amounts are expected to remain light with highs in the 70s and 80s. Northwest winds will be around 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. For Tuesday and beyond, high pressure over the Pacific will gradually propagate eastward, bringing continued spring-like conditions to the state. Highs will generally be in the upper 70s to low 80s through the week, with quiet weather, and lows in the 40s. && .AVIATION...Northeasterly winds this afternoon of 6-16kts gusting 15-22kts across the region. Showers today will be focused mainly over central NV, with a 35% chance for KELY, 20% at KTPH, 10% at KEKO, and 5-10% at KWMC and KBAM. Any shower activity will be light, though possibly mixed with small hail in any thunderstorms that may develop over central NV. KWMC remains AMD NOT SKED due to a communications issue. && .HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across several streams, creeks, and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to seasonal snow melt. Temperature forecasts for the upcoming weekend and into early next week depict spring-like temperatures into the 70s and possibly the low 80s in some spots. Given the amount of high elevation snowpack remaining, look for runoff to increase, causing continued elevated flows for many area streams and rivers across northern and central Nevada. The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain resides in action stage and is forecast remain in action stage for the next several days. The Humboldt River at Comus is in action stage and is forecast to remain in action stage for the next few days. Wildhorse Dam currently resides in action stage and is forecast to remain in action stage for the next several days. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 86/86/96