Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
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857 FXUS64 KOUN 280705 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 205 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 153 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 MCS and lingering line of storms will continue to affect portions of southeast Oklahoma today. This will include a severe and flooding risk to go along with it. Most of the activity should shift east of the area during the afternoon hours. Will keep a portion of the flood watch for this area into the afternoon hours and will drop counties farther west from the watch. The remainder of the area will get a respite after a long day and night of severe weather. Otherwise, lighter winds, mild temperatures and clearing skies will make for a more tranquil day today across much of western and central sections of the area. Slightly drier air, clear skies and lighter winds will allow temperatures tonight to drop into the 40s and 50s across much of the area. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Saturday) Issued at 153 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Quiet weather expected Monday in the wake of the weekend storm system. South winds return in earnest by Tuesday as surface pressure gradient tightens in response to shortwave trough moving through the northern Plains. The lower level winds will be veered bringing in much warmer air from the west with temperatures climbing to 80s and low/mid 90s. Southwest flow returns by midweek and a southern stream trough may bring an increasing chance of storms. Sufficient instability will be present for a few severe storms to be possible. A strong cold front still appears on track to move through late Thursday into Friday which should bring a cooler, drier airmass into the area for at least the first part of next weekend. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1212 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Main line of storms is on track to clear all sites except DUA where an arrival around 2 AM is expected. Farther west near WWR, a small line of TS may survive its journey east and impact PNC during the pre-dawn hours, although this is too uncertain for mention in the TAF. Otherwise, some visby restrictions and MVFR ceilings are likely to develop well in the wake of the main line of storms before VFR resumes by mid/late morning. DUA remains likely to see another bout of TS by the afternoon ahead of the dryline and cold front. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 79 54 80 61 / 20 0 10 0 Hobart OK 79 51 82 60 / 0 0 10 0 Wichita Falls TX 81 55 83 63 / 10 0 0 0 Gage OK 76 45 82 57 / 10 0 10 0 Ponca City OK 79 48 78 57 / 40 0 0 10 Durant OK 78 60 82 60 / 90 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for OKZ004>008-010>013- 015>020-022>030-035-037>040-044-045. Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for OKZ031-032-041>043-046>048-050>052. TX...Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for TXZ086-089-090. && $$ SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM....30 AVIATION...93