Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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484 FXUS62 KTAE 011011 AFDTAE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 611 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 ...New AVIATION... .NEAR TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 343 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 Areas of fog will be a concern through the mid-morning hours. Fog will then dissipate leaving partly cloudy skies for the remainder of the day. There may be just enough lingering low level moisture and weak surface convergence for isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon centered across the Florida big bend and far southwest Georgia. Highs are expected to be mostly in the mid 80s across inland locations with overnight lows in the mid 60s. Another round of fog is also possible tonight. && .SHORT AND LONG TERM... (Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 343 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 The extended forecast remains unchanged, a pair of shortwaves still look to move across the southeast this weekend. The first one on Saturday looks to move directly overhead, allowing for some decent forcing for ascent. Our best rain chances look to be across our SW Georgia counties, with lower probabilities as one moves southwest towards the FL Panhandle. On Sunday a shortwave further to our north moves northeast. Forcing for ascent will be weaker with this shortwave, leading to lower precip chances than the Saturday shortwave. Regardless of the day, scattered showers and a few storms could be possible. Severe weather is not expected. Otherwise, ridging aloft will allow quiet weather to prevail outside of this weekend. Expect daytime highs generally in the upper 80s to low 90s with overnight lows generally in the low to mid 60s. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 610 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 Areas of fog this morning will lift by mid-morning with VFR conditions prevailing for the remainder of the day. An isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible this afternoon, but the chance appears too low to include in the TAFs at this time. Another round of fog is expected tonight, possibly dense in spots. && .MARINE... Issued at 343 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 High pressure takes over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico the rest of the week, leading to more tranquil boating conditions. Light winds are expected with seas generally 2 feet or less into the weekend. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 343 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 There are no large scale fire weather concerns expected over the next few days. Dispersions are expected to be on the low side this afternoon due to weak transport winds. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 343 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 Minor flooding continues along the Lower Suwannee River. Additional riverine flooding is not expected, generally less than half an inch of rain is forecast through the next week. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 86 65 90 65 / 30 20 10 0 Panama City 82 67 84 66 / 10 0 0 0 Dothan 85 64 89 64 / 10 0 0 0 Albany 86 64 89 66 / 20 10 10 0 Valdosta 86 66 90 67 / 20 10 10 0 Cross City 86 63 90 65 / 20 10 10 0 Apalachicola 78 68 80 68 / 20 10 0 0 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EDT /8 AM CDT/ this morning for FLZ007>018-026-027-108-112-114-115-118-127. High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114- 115. GA...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for GAZ142>146- 155>158. AL...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM CDT this morning for ALZ065>069. GM...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...DVD SHORT TERM...Oliver LONG TERM....Oliver AVIATION...DVD MARINE...Oliver FIRE WEATHER...DVD HYDROLOGY...Oliver