Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS61 KPBZ 252355
AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
755 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will maintain dry weather and warm temperatures
today. The threat for showers and storms returns this weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
An update was issued to add some isolated POP numbers to some
counties between Cambridge and Morgantown as per the advance of weak
convection on the nose of a higher dewpoint plume. These are not
expected to cause any issues or last long in the weak wind
field.

Otherwise, weakening high pressure should be sufficient to
suppress and showers or storms over the remainder of the area
tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected on Saturday as a
shortwave crosses and triggers convection...increasing in
coverage during peak heating in the afternoon/evening.
Temperatures will continue to be well above average.

More of the same expected on Sunday with little change in the
overall pattern or forecast for Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Hot and humid conditions with diurnally supported convection will
persist through the extended with the best chance of organized
precipitation later in the week. Only minor adjustments were
made...with PoPs lowered on Monday (but not removed) as there
looks to be a better cap on convection.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
High pres will maintain general VFR until an advancing trough
spawns scattered convection on Saturday aftn.

OUTLOOK...
General VFR can be expected into midweek outside of isolated to
scattered convection.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
OH...None.
PA...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$



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