Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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ILC001-005-009-013-027-051-061-083-117-119-121-133-135-149-157-
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201515-

Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
1015 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018

...Severe Drought Removed From Central Missouri...

SYNOPSIS...

Near normal rainfall was observed across the bi-state area over the
past week, with amounts generally ranging from a quarter to three-
quarters of an inch. The near normal rainfall this past week
combined with very wet conditions earlier this month has led to
continued improvements to the drought. Most significant improvements
compared to last week include higher stock water supplies, wetter
soil moisture percentiles, and better pasture conditions. Because of
these improvements, severe drought has been removed from portions of
central Missouri.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

According to the latest United States Department of Agriculture,
soybean condition was rated 7 percent very poor and 16 percent
poor in the state of Missouri. Pasture condition was 7 percent
very poor and 25 percent poor.

Supply of hay is 42 percent very short and 33 percent short, with
stock water supply 1 percent very short and 26 percent short.

Topsoil moisture supply was rated 2 percent very short and 8
percent short, with subsoil moisture 4 percent very short and 22
percent short.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...

Earlier precipitation deficits have been largely eroded or erased
across much of the area. However, some locations are still running
between 1 and 4 inches of rain below normal since June 1st.


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) for the days
6-10 period favors below normal temperatures and near normal
rainfall.

In the week 2 timeframe, the CPC favors below normal
temperatures, along with above normal precipitation across the
mid-Mississippi Valley.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

Though the past week was not nearly as wet as the previous week, 7-
day streamflow percentiles remained well above any drought
thresholds, mostly above the 70th percentile. Lower percentile flows
were found in parts of southeastern Missouri.  But these percentiles
were still near normal for this time of year.  Even the 28-day
percentiles across Missouri and Illinois were mostly well above the
70th percentile.

Most area wells have shown improvement over the past week.  The only
notable exceptions were in Reynolds, northwestern Iron, and Crawford
counties of southeastern Missouri, where wells near Lesterville,
Bixby, and Onondaga Cave were at their lowest levels since the
beginning of the summer.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

This will be the last drought statement until severe (D2) drought
conditions return to the area.


&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

LOCAL WEATHER, CLIMATE, AND WATER INFORMATION:
http://www.weather.gov/saintlouis

MIDWEST CLIMATE CENTER DROUGHT INFORMATION PAGE:
http://mcc.sws.uiuc.edu/cliwatch/drought/drought.jsp

MISSOURI STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
http://climate.missouri.edu
MISSOURI DNR DROUGHT PAGE:
http://www.dnr.mo.gov/env/wrc/droughtupdate.htm

ILLINOIS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
http://www.isws.illinois.edu/atmos/statecli
ILLINOIS WATER SURVEY DROUGHT PAGE:
http://www.isws.illinois.edu/hilites/drought/

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL:
http://www.drought.gov

ADDITIONAL WATER INFORMATION:
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ADVANCED HYDROLOGICAL PREDICTION
SERVICE (AHPS):  http://water.weather.gov
U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY:  http://water.usgs.gov
ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS:  http://www.nwo.usace.army.mil/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

The U.S. Drought Monitor is a weekly collaborative effort between
a number of state and federal agencies including the National
Weather Service, the U.S. Department of Agriculture, and the
National Drought Mitigation Center.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

If you have any questions or comments about this information,
please contact:

Jayson Gosselin or
Mark Britt
Climate Services Focal Points
--or--
Mark Fuchs
Senior Service Hydrologist

National Weather Service Saint Louis Missouri
636-441-8467
w-lsx.webmaster@noaa.gov

$$

Gosselin/Fuchs


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