Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 261855
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
255 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

...Increasing chances of mixed precipitation later tonight and into
the weekend...

.DISCUSSION...Chances of mixed precip will increase tonight into
Friday morning as a cold front slides thru the region. Additional
chances of mixed precip will develop Friday afternoon into Saturday
as the upper low and surface reflection sweep thru the Western Great
Lakes.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-270815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
255 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400. rain showers and snow
                    showers likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain showers and
                    snow showers likely until 1200. slight chance
                    of rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....47-52...except around 41 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (490).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and snow showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....27-32.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (250).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 23 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (980).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-270815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
255 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Max Temperature.....53-58...except 37-42 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter...except 25 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (550).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of snow showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....30-35.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (340).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....43-48...except around 41 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1100).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-270815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
255 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400. rain showers and snow
                    showers likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....33-38.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Snow showers
                    likely until 1200. rain showers likely.
Max Temperature.....44-49...except around 41 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (360).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and snow showers likely until 2400.
Min Temperature.....28-33.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (210).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1100).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-270815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
255 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....33-38.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 15 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Snow showers
                    likely until 1200. rain showers likely.
Max Temperature.....49-54...except 39-44 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (510).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and snow showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....28-33.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (260).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent...except 41-46 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1180).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-270815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
255 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Snow showers
                    likely until 1200. chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (610).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and snow showers.
Min Temperature.....29-34.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (300).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1020).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...WARMER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MR
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