Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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133
FNUS51 KBGM 141931
FWFBGM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
330 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Scattered afternoon showers this afternoon, with isolated
thunder mainly in Central New York, will become more numerous
tonight into Wednesday areawide as an upper wave lifts into the
region. Unsettled weather will continue through the weekend
with at least a chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms
most days, though there will be dry intervals too.


NYZ210-150800-
Leatherstocking-
330 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers      Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     70           80           40           30
Temp (24h trend)      54 (+2)      65 (-10)     51           73
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      65 (+25)     100          50
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               S 6-10                    NE 4-8
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 8-12       S 7-11       SE 4-8       NE 6-10
Precip Amount         0.10         0.15         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration       5            8            2            2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2210                      4760
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 12                      E 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  32800                     66620
DSI                   2            1            2            2
Sunshine Hours                     1                         6
LAL                   9-15 strikes 1-8 strikes  No tstms     1-8 strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
ADI early             48 Gen Good  25 Fair      15 Gen Poor  29 Fair
ADI late              8 Poor       29 Fair      4 Very Poor  43 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       4            6            6            7
Max LVORI late        6            4            8            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds around
10 mph.

$$

PAZ038-039-043-150800-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
330 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           80           30           30
Temp (24h trend)      55 (+5)      65 (-8)      52           72
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      70 (+22)     100          53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               SE 7-11                   NE 5-9
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 9-13       SE 8-12      E 5-9        NE 7-11
Precip Amount         0.14         0.14         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration       7            7            1            2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2210                      5050
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 12                     NE 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  28840                     69730
DSI                   2            1            2            2
Sunshine Hours                     1                         6
LAL                   1-8 strikes  1-8 strikes  No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
ADI early             34 Fair      28 Fair      20 Gen Poor  45 Gen Good
ADI late              10 Poor      30 Fair      5 Very Poor  54 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            6            7
Max LVORI late        7            4            8            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds around
10 mph.

$$

PAZ044-047-150800-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
330 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           70           40           30
Temp (24h trend)      54 (+5)      65 (-7)      52           72
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      65 (+25)     100          51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               SE 7-11                   NE 8-12
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 8-12       SE 8-12      E 8-12       NE 8-12
Precip Amount         0.16         0.13         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration       10           7            2            2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2320                      4340
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 14                     NE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  31770                     74060
DSI                   2            2            2            2
Sunshine Hours                     2                         5
LAL                   1-8 strikes  1-8 strikes  No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
ADI early             19 Gen Poor  23 Fair      23 Fair      57 Gen Good
ADI late              11 Poor      31 Fair      9 Poor       59 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       5            6            5            5
Max LVORI late        6            4            6            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.

$$

PAZ040-048-072-150800-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
330 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           70           30           40
Temp (24h trend)      54 (+6)      64 (-9)      52           68
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      70 (+24)     100          57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               SE 6-10                   NE 8-12 G19
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 7-11       SE 8-12      E 7-11       NE 9-13 G18
Precip Amount         0.11         0.12         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration       8            6            2            2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2360                      4190
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 14                     NE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  33790                     72380
DSI                   2            1            2            2
Sunshine Hours                     1                         4
LAL                   1-8 strikes  1-8 strikes  No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
ADI early             29 Fair      25 Fair      25 Fair      54 Gen Good
ADI late              9 Poor       37 Fair      9 Poor       56 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       6            7            6            5
Max LVORI late        7            4            6            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds around
10 mph.

$$