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000
FXUS64 KTSA 190208
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
908 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of tonight)
Issued at 904 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Cold front has almost cleared the CWA as of 9 PM with a much
cooler airmass spreading over the area. All counties have now
been cleared from the Severe Thunderstorm Watch accordingly. A few
spotty showers remain possible across northwest AR the next few
hours, but should not amount to much.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Thursday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Cooler and dry weather prevails Friday with the next wave inducing
a broad region of upglide and expanding precip from late Friday
night through Saturday. Guidance continues to favor the bulk of
the precip across the southern half of the forecast area and
points southward. The heaviest rainfall totals are also likely to
remain south of the Red River through Saturday night. Widespread
cloud cover and ongoing precip will keep Saturday temps seasonably
cold with high temps 10-15 degrees below normal.

Sfc high overhead on Sunday yields a pleasant day with increasing
winds and warming temps on Monday. The next cold front passes on
Tuesday with the next chance of showers and storms. The developing
pattern for mid to late next week looks increasingly unsettled and
daily thunderstorm chances will remain in the forecast with
specific details refined in later forecasts. Typical for this time
of the year.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 611 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

A cold front moving thru the region will bring a period of mainly
MVFR cigs to the TAF sites this evening. The far NW AR sites may
see a short period of IFR cigs as well. The E OK sites are
expected to scatter out or see rising cigs to VFR overnight into
Friday morning. The NW AR sites will see rising cigs to VFR after
daybreak Friday. Gusty N winds to around 20 kts can be expected
behind the front.

Lacy

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   45  68  48  61 /  10  10  40  50
FSM   53  72  52  60 /  40  20  60  60
MLC   50  70  51  58 /  10  20  80  80
BVO   41  66  44  62 /  10   0  20  40
FYV   45  69  46  61 /  20  10  40  50
BYV   46  66  47  61 /  50  10  30  30
MKO   48  69  49  59 /  10  10  60  60
MIO   43  65  45  60 /  10   0  20  30
F10   47  68  49  58 /  10  10  60  70
HHW   51  69  52  58 /  50  20  80  90

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...30