454
FNUS75 KGJT 081717
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Slash Pile Rx...Norwood Fire Protection District
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1117 AM MDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A low pressure center anchored to our west will keep unsettled
weather in the forecast through the period. Afternoon showers and
thunderstorms will develop on terrain. Precipitation chances
increase Friday, with a greater chance for wetting rains from
afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Marginal winds and higher
relative humidity will keep critical fire weather conditions out
of reach.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....60-63.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5-10 mph shifting to the east in
                    the afternoon at 10-15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South-southeast 10 mph.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the evening. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms through the night. Slight chance
                    of rain showers overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....36-40.
Max humidity........75-80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 15 mph decreasing to 8-12 mph
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair decreasing to poor (11000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................3 until 2100, then 2 until 2400, then 3 until
                    0300, then 2.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL decreasing to 1100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 13 mph.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the morning, then rain showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................40 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10-12 mph shifting to the south 14-18
                    mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 4.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Lucas Boyer
Requested by...Griffith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413514.0/GJT
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cgriffith@norwoodcofire.com