Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
255 FNUS71 KAKQ 300940 FWSAKQ Spot Forecast for Escarpment Admin RX...USFWS National Weather Service Wakefield VA 540 AM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 30. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service at 757-899-5734. .DISCUSSION... Dry with increasing high cloud cover today. Min RH values drop to around 40% by this afternoon. A southwest wind will increase shortly after sunrise, averaging around 10 mph by late morning/afternoon with occasional gusts of 20 to 25 mph. Winds decrease again by sunset into tonight. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 85. Min humidity........41 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 10 mph. Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (16800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (76700 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............2. ADI.................25 early in the morning increasing to 72 in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........21 20 19 18 28 37 47 56 66 75 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............66 70 74 77 80 82 83 84 84 83 RH..............78 68 62 56 51 46 44 43 41 43 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..8 9 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 10 20 FT wind gust.14 15 16 16 16 19 19 19 19 16 Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.5 4.1 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.2 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.15 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............25 37 44 50 57 62 67 70 72 71 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..17 25 33 40 49 59 69 73 77 77 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Min temperature.....Around 63. Max humidity........97 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 8 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (45800 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (3300 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............4. ADI.................52 early in the evening decreasing to 5 late in the night. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........77 79 82 80 78 76 74 72 71 67 64 61 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Temp............82 79 75 73 71 70 69 68 67 67 66 64 RH..............44 50 58 62 68 71 73 78 81 81 84 90 20 FT wind dir..SW SW S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..9 8 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 20 FT wind gust.15 14 12 12 12 14 12 12 12 12 11 11 Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 2.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.SW S S S S S S S S SW SW SW Transp wind spd.15 12 9 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 ADI.............52 15 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..46 21 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Max temperature.....Around 81. Min humidity........60 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest around 5 mph late in the afternoon, then shifting to the east late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph shifting to the north 3 to 5 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6100 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (29300 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............4. ADI.................6 to 41. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........64 70 69 71 77 77 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).10 30 30 30 60 60 Temp............64 65 72 77 78 78 RH..............93 93 73 62 60 62 20 ft wind......SW 6 SW 6 W 6 W 6 W 5 NE 5 20 ft wind gust.11 11 11 11 8 8 Mix hgt (ft)....800 1300 3000 4100 4600 3700 Transport wind..SW 9 W 12 W 10 NW 7 N 3 N 5 LVORI...........6 5 3 1 2 2 ADI.............6 20 38 34 16 15 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 13 27 25 16 13 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR $$ Forecaster...BUTNER Requested by...Frank Simmons Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412755.0/AKQ .DELDT 04/30/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Frank_simmons@fws.gov