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000
FNUS71 KCTP 220813
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Pats Ridge...PA - DCNR - BoF
National Weather Service State College PA
413 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on April 22.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.

.DISCUSSION...
Chilly start today with widespread frost, then mostly sunny and
warmer with minRH forecast around 20% this afternoon.


.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Widespread frost early in
                    the morning.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 55.
Min Humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest 15
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 10 to 15 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................12 early in the morning increasing to 73 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
Weather Cov.......  WID WID WID
Weather Type......  FST FST FST
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  28  29  33  37  41  46  49  51  53  53  54  55
RH................  85  81  72  56  44  34  28  22  19  20  20  20
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  7   7   10  11  13  14  14  14  14  12  11  11
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.5 0.9 1.8 3.7 4.9 5.4 6.0 6.3 6.7 6.8 7.0
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  9   9   10  14  22  24  22  21  18  17  14  13
LVORI.............  4   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  12  12  12  73  73  73  69  69  69  59  59  59
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Widespread frost
                    early in the morning.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 32.
Max Humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing Height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 5.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  1   1   1   5   9   13  17  22  26  30  34  38
Weather Cov.......                                              WID
Weather Type......                                              FST
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  53  51  45  42  40  38  37  36  35  34  33  32
RH................  23  26  36  43  48  52  54  56  61  64  66  72
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   5   3   3   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  6   4   4       4   4   4   4   4   4   5
Mix Hgt (kft).....  7.0 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  12  7   7   6   6   7   6   7   7   8   9   8
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
Haines Index......  5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    light rain late in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 62.
Min Humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph with
                    gusts to around 20 mph.
Mixing Height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 15 mph increasing to southwest 20 to
                    30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................11 early in the morning increasing to 88 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  42  46  50  52  55  58  61  64  66  70  74  77
Weather Cov.......                                              SCH
Weather Type......                                              RN
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  33  35  38  43  48  53  55  57  59  60  60  61
RH................  72  69  64  57  47  41  38  35  34  33  33  33
20 FT Wind Dir....  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   5   6   6   8   10  11  11  12  12  13  12
20 FT Wind Gust...  5   6   8   10  14  17  18  19  19  20  20  20
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.5 1.3 3.1 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7
Transp Wind Dir...  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp Wind Spd...  9   9   10  16  21  24  25  25  26  26  26  26
LVORI.............  3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  11  11  11  70  70  70  88  88  88  87  87  87
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Jeremy Dayhoff
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411674.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jerdayhoff@pa.gov