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000
FNUS71 KCTP 161320
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Buckaloons RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service State College PA
920 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 16.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Sunny to partly cloudy and pleasantly warm today with a high
near 70. Clouds will thicken up tonight with periods of light
rain on Wednesday. MinRH is forecast to drop between 20-30% this
afternoon with a light wind turning from out of the southwest at
first this morning to westerly for the afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
Min Humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the northwest 5
                    to 8 mph late in the morning, then shifting to
                    the north around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................16 to 32.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  10  10  10  9   9   11  13  15
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  55  59  62  65  67  68  69  70
RH................  45  37  33  30  27  27  26  25
20 FT Wind Dir....  SE  S   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT Wind Spd....  1   2   3   3   4   4   4   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  2   4   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  2.5 3.5 4.1 4.5 4.8 4.9 4.7 4.2
Transp Wind Dir...  E   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp Wind Spd...  5   5   7   8   7   8   7   7
LVORI.............  2   2   2   1   2   2   2   2
ADI...............  16  16  32  32  32  24  24  24
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain after 3 am. Chance of rain early in the
                    morning.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 47.
Max Humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph
                    early in the evening, then becoming light late
                    in the evening becoming east 5 to 6 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 8 to 10 mph shifting to the east 9 to
                    14 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 to 12.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  17  19  21  34  48  61  61  60  59  65  70  76
Weather Cov.......                                      SCH SCH CHC
Weather Type......                                      RN  RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  67  63  56  54  52  50  49  48  47  48  48  48
RH................  29  34  45  46  50  52  54  58  60  60  60  63
20 FT Wind Dir....  N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   5   5   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   7   7   6   6   6   6   7   8   8   10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  3.3 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Transp Wind Dir...  N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE
Transp Wind Spd...  8   9   10  10  9   10  12  13  13  13  13  14
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   2   2
ADI...............  5   5   5   5   5   5   8   8   8   12  12  12
Haines Index......  4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain through the day.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1700, then 9-15 strikes.
Max Temperature.....Around 64.
Min Humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 13 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................15 to 34.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  82  89  95  96  97  98  98  99  100 100 100 100
Weather Cov.......  CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather Type......  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........                                              SCH
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   5
Temp..............  49  49  50  52  54  55  57  59  60  61  62  62
RH................  63  68  71  74  77  83  80  80  81  78  75  75
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   9   9   9
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  10  10  10  11  12  13  13  14  14  14  14
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5
Transp Wind Dir...  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  14  13  13  15  13  15  15  17  20  20  21  21
LVORI.............  2   3   3   3   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  15  15  15  18  18  18  29  29  29  34  34  34
Haines Index......  5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Dangelo
Requested by...Warren SO
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411105.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Paul.clement@usda.gov