Text Products for FWS Issued by DLH

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
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FNUS73 KDLH 241119
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Crow Wing April 24 Rx burn...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Duluth MN
619 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on April 24.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Sunny skies are expected today as high pressure moves into the
region. This high pressure will keep winds light through the day,
with southerly winds being around 6 mph. Min RH today will be
dropping as low as 27 percent this afternoon as dry air aloft is
mixed to the surface. Smoke dispersal today will be increasing
from fair early this morning to excellent by late afternoon as
mixing height increases to around 6,400 ft. High pressure
persists tomorrow, although conditions will be slightly less dry
than today with min RH dropping to 29 percent. Southerly winds
will become breezy tomorrow from the south with speeds of 7 to 15
mph and gusts up to 26 mph.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 6 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4700-22100 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (57600-63900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............35  35  39  44  48  50  54  57  58  60  61
RH..............82  78  67  55  49  44  40  34  31  28  27
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.11  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.2 1.8 2.0 2.7 3.6 4.4 5.1 5.8 6.4 6.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  13  14  13  12  12  12  10  12  12  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10005   13  21  22  28  36  44  46  58  64  58

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 6 mph.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL decreasing to 700 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (37700-57300 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (4500 knot-ft) early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............61     55     48     44     41     39
RH..............27     34     48     57     59     62
20 ft wind......S 5    S 5    SE 6   S 6    S 6    S 6
20 ft wind gust.12     12     13     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....6400   700    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..SW 10  S 9    S 13   S 14   S 14   S 14
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100057     6      5      6      6      6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 23 mph increasing to 24 to 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (6900-20500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (80300-112400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............37     43     54     61     66     67
RH..............63     54     42     34     30     29
20 ft wind......S 7    S 8    S 10   S 13   S 15   S 15
20 ft wind gust.14     14     19     22     23     23
Mix hgt (ft)....500    900    1700   3900   4900   5100
Transport wind..S 15   S 17   S 21   S 24   S 24   S 25
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10007      13     31     80     106    112

$$
Forecaster...Woody
Requested by...Robert Bale
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412127.0/DLH
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Robert.bale@tnc.org
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
