Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 150805
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
305 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 305 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

The big storm system to the southeast continues to wrap small
bands of light snow back into west central Minnesota. Web cams
from Park Rapids and near the ND/SD border show steady snow
falling. It appears that Park Rapids may have picked up a couple
inches of snow so far. This is a fairly thin band though, with
much better visibilities from Wadena to Elbow Lake. For that
reason, think snowfall amounts will be lower in those areas. The
clearing area remains just to the west of the FA, or over central
ND. This clearing is expected to push slowly eastward today, as
the storm system slowly loosens its grasp on the area. However,
until it does, it may still drop some light snow over the
southeast FA. Like yesterday, areas that clear out will be the
warmest. Any lingering light snow should end tonight. With winds
becoming light and clearing skies for most areas, it will be a
chilly night.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 305 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

Upper ridge moves over the region on Monday and will keep region dry
from Mon through Tue evening, when ridge slides east over MN/IA.
Still some differences in track and depth of upper low that will
bring a chance for a wintry mix late Tue aftn (far west) spreading
across most of the region by early Wed morning.  Precip will linger
over area through late Wed aftn with precip type generally diurnal,
with light snow early Wed morning...changing to rain during the day
Wed. Some areas of freezing rain cannot be ruled out if changeover
to rain begins before temps, with lows generally in the upper 20s to
low 30s, rise to above freezing Wed morning. Next ridge moves over
the region by mid-day Thu and area should be dry for the end of the
week through the weekend.  Temperatures still expected to increase
through the week with Thu through Sun highs in the mid 40s to low
50s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1156 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

VFR conditions should prevail through the TAF period across
eastern ND and northwest MN. Light snow is possible at KBJI
through early Sun morning, but confidence was too low to include
in TAFs at this time. Northeast winds have finally decreased to
12kt or less, and prevailing winds should generally remain 10-12kt
or less the reminder of the TAF period as surface high pressure
continues to build east.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Godon
LONG TERM...Speicher
AVIATION...DJR



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