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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

000
FNUS75 KGJT 092007
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for BPR Hoy Unit RX...US Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
207 PM MDT Tue Apr 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 MDT on April 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure slides overhead on Thursday, returning warm and dry
conditions across northwest Colorado. Such conditions will be favorable
for mixing at low levels, thus, increasing smoke dispersal to Good by
early afternoon. Temps continue to rise on Friday, however, as do winds.
Strong south to southwesterly winds ramp up Friday afternoon, leaving
hot, dry, and windy conditions across Browns Park heading into the
weekend. Winds look to revamp each afternoon, while unsettled weather
returns early next week.


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph, shifting to southwest winds
                    10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (28000 knot-ft) increasing to good in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 11 mph.
Clearing Index......290 increasing to 850 in the afternoon.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....34-39.
Max humidity........49-54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Drainage winds 3 to 8 mph after 2200.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (3000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph, increasing to
20 mph by 1500. Gusting 30 mph through late afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to excellent in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 mph increasing to 26 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Clearing Index......600 increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Erin Walter
Requested by...Andy Buyers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410134.0/GJT
.DELDT 04/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL andrew_buyers@fws.gov