Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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989
FNUS73 KGRR 050922
FWSGRR

Spot Forecast for Barren Plains UNit 5...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
522 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (616) 949-5150, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Clouds will clear out this morning as high pressure starts to build
in. Winds could be a little gusty from the NW this morning, but will
tend to diminish some this afternoon, while also becoming from the
North. High pressure will start to move to the east of the area on
Monday, allowing SE winds to start increasing some.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 68.
RH..................83 percent at ignition...Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 9 to 12 mph at ignition...
                    otherwise north winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusts up
                    to 20 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5000 ft
                    AGL.
Mixing winds........North 15 to 20 mph becoming 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 /good/ at ignition. Max...540 /good/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
Sky (%).........62     39     15     4      4      4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............50     56     62     66     68     66
RH..............83     62     46     32     28     36
20 ft wind......NW 9   NW 9   N 9    N 8    N 6    NW 7
20 ft wind gust.20     14     12
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   2700   3800   4600   5000   4000
Mixing wind.....N 17   N 16   N 14   N 12   N 10   N 10
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5
Smoke disprsl...400    440    530    530    500    420

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Min 42.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 7 to 9 mph shifting to the east around 8
                    mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....160 (fair) early in the evening decreasing to
                    20 (poor) late in the night.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........Max 72.
RH..................Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southeast 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40 (poor) early in the morning increasing to
                    600 (excellent) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Jeruzal
Requested by...Nieland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413128.0/GRR
.DELDT 05/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jeff.nieland@usda.gov