Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
000
FNUS53 KJKL 252004
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
404 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
.DISCUSSION...Poor to fair RH recovery is expected overnight on
the ridges as very low dewpoints continue to remain over the
region. Good to excellent recovery is expected in the valleys. Also,
a downsloping effect off the eastern high terrain will continue to
keep northwestern aspects toward the drier side. Also, strong
southeasterly winds with gusts approaching 35 mph will persist
through the overnight and into early Tuesday afternoon.
Fortunately, a wetting rain is expected to move into the region
late tonight into early Tuesday morning as a cold front
approaches the area. Forecast precipitation amounts have increased
slightly with the highest amounts of around 0.5" along and south
of the Hal Rogers Parkway. Along and north of the Mountain Parkway
and the Cumberland Plateau, QPF is around 0.3". Near to below
seasonal temperatures return to the area once the front exits on
Wednesday.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-261000-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
404 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 70 80 20 0
Precip type tstms tstms rain None
Temp (24H TREND) 48-55 (+14) 59-62 (-10) 42-51 59-64
Rh % (24H TREND) 59-89 (+37) 41-59 (+46) 80-96 36-47
20ftwnd-AM(mph) S 8-12 G25 W 2-6 G13
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SE 7-11 G23 S 9-13 G26 S 5-9 G20 W 3-7 G14
Precip duration 1 5 1
Precip begin 3 AM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.04 0.24 0.01 0.00
LAL 2 2 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1900 4800
Transport wnd (mph) S 21 W 10
Vent rate (kt-ft) 34200 43200
ADI Early 15 29 9 36
ADI Late 17 41 6 45
Max LVORI Early 2 3 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 3 6 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-261000-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
404 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 70 80 20 0
Precip type tstms tstms rain None
Temp (24H TREND) 45-57 (+14) 57-62 (-7) 43-50 61-64
Rh % (24H TREND) 68-93 (+42) 48-74 (+58) 80-100 35-55
20ftwnd-AM(mph) S 10-14 G27 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SE 9-13 G27 S 8-12 G25 S 5-9 G20 NW 3-7 G14
Precip duration 1 5 1
Precip begin 3 AM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.06 0.42 0.02 0.00
LAL 3 2 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1800 4800
Transport wnd (mph) S 21 W 7
Vent rate (kt-ft) 32400 28800
ADI Early 17 30 9 27
ADI Late 23 38 5 33
Max LVORI Early 2 3 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 4 6 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-261000-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
404 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 80 90 20 0
Precip type tstms tstms rain None
Temp (24H TREND) 51-58 (+14) 62-65 (-5) 42-46 60-63
Rh % (24H TREND) 72-93 (+37) 51-66 (+48) 83-96 36-46
20ftwnd-AM(mph) S 10-14 G29 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SE 10-14 G30 S 10-14 G29 S 5-9 G20 NW 4-8 G14
Precip duration 2 4 1
Precip begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.09 0.34 0.01 0.00
LAL 3 2 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2600 4900
Transport wnd (mph) S 24 NW 7
Vent rate (kt-ft) 54600 29400
ADI Early 18 46 9 33
ADI Late 23 59 6 43
Max LVORI Early 2 4 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 3 6 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-261000-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
404 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 50 90 30 20
Precip type rain tstms rain rain
Temp (24H TREND) 45-55 (+15) 58-61 (-10) 46-51 63-66
Rh % (24H TREND) 59-86 (+26) 43-63 (+51) 83-100 35-47
20ftwnd-AM(mph) S 9-13 G27 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SE 9-13 G28 S 7-11 G23 S 4-8 G19 NW 3-7 G13
Precip duration 1 5 1 1
Precip begin Continuing
Precip end Continuing
Precip amount 0.02 0.29 0.03 0.00
LAL 2 2 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1600 5200
Transport wnd (mph) S 20 W 9
Vent rate (kt-ft) 27200 41600
ADI Early 16 31 10 22
ADI Late 22 33 5 32
Max LVORI Early 2 3 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 3 6 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the lower
70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$