Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FXUS63 KMPX 131633

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1133 AM CDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.UPDATE for 18z taf discussion below...


.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 332 AM CDT Tue Mar 13 2018

Quiet weather is expected through the short term period. While
temperatures overachieved on Monday, progged 925-850mb temps are a
couple degrees cooler today. Therefore expect readings to be a tad
cooler in most areas, with low to mid 30s common. Skies start out
mostly clear, but do expect some cu development again over west
central Wisconsin late morning and early afternoon. Should also see
a cirrus deck working in during the afternoon and evening. That
should help temps from cooling too notably overnight, with lows from
the mid teens to lower 20s expected.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 332 AM CDT Tue Mar 13 2018

There remains very little to be concerned about through the long
term. Models have been shifting the systems for Thursday
night/Friday and next Monday southward which has resulted in a
reduction of PoPs.

As noted Sunday night, mostly northerly or easterly flow will keep
the chance of a nice warm up away. However, plentiful sunshine
and the lack of meaningful cold air advection may allow
temperatures to overachieve a little each afternoon similar to

The forecast is good news for river flooding prospects with slow
daily snow melt through the next 10 days and no significant
systems adding to the snowpack.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Tue Mar 13 2018

VFR conditions throughout period. Surface winds will diminish this
afternoon from west to east becoming s-sw and then becoming nw-w
with fropa which works into the northwest cwa Wed morning. Just
high clouds expected with this system with perhaps a few cumulus
developing behind front Wed afternoon.

No concerns.

WED night...VFR. Wind N at 5 kts.
THU...VFR. Wind NE at 5 kts.
FRI...VFR. Wind E at 5-10 kts.






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