Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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FNUS71 KPHI 161028
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Spot Forecast for NJWKR Dagmar RX Fire...USFWS
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
628 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
It will be mainly clear today and fairly mild, but not as warm as
Monday. Northwest winds will generally be around 5 to 10 mph.
Expect minimum relative humidity values getting down to around 30
percent this afternoon with high temperatures in the middle to
upper 60s.

Winds diminish this evening and there will also be a significant
recovery in relative humidity values as temperatures fall and dew
points rise as the winds turn more onshore from the east.

Wednesday will be mainly cloudy and cooler with some showers
developing and relative humidity values remaining in the range of 55
to 85 percent.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (23300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (111900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................35 early in the morning increasing to 130 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   2   4   3   3   3   2   4   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............52  55  59  61  63  65  66  66  66
RH..............54  50  40  36  34  31  30  30  31
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  10  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.14  14  16  16  17  17  18  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 3.1 4.5 5.1 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.15  17  18  18  18  20  20  20  18
ADI.............35  67  99  110 82  90  91  91  130
Vrate kt-ft/1K..24  47  73  83  97  110 112 112 104
Ventrate Cat....PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 6 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 17 mph shifting to the northeast 7
                    to 8 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (81800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................107 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late
                    in the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........9   5   7   6   5   4   10  15  20  30  39  49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  62  58  56  53  51  49  47  46  45  45  44
RH..............32  36  42  46  53  56  58  63  64  65  65  65
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..10  8   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.15  12  10  9   9   8   7   7   6   6   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...5.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.17  10  10  9   8   8   8   7   8   8   8   8
ADI.............107 7   5   4   4   4   4   3   4   4   4   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..82  8   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Ventrate Cat....GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    late in the afternoon. Rain showers likely late
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 70 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming southeast
                    5 to 6 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 9 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (24700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................5 to 30.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  48  57  61  67  87  79  85  90  90  91  91
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  70
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  70
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............43  44  45  49  52  56  57  58  60  59  58  57
RH..............67  68  67  61  55  51  51  50  48  51  55  61
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   8   9   9   10  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.6 2.9 2.9 3.1 2.8 2.2 1.6
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   8   7   7   8   8   9   8   9   9
ADI.............5   8   13  15  16  23  30  29  30  25  23  19
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   9   10  11  16  21  20  25  20  17  13
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...Fitzsimmons
Requested by...Tomas Liogys
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411072.0/PHI
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tomas_liogys@fws.gov
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