246
FXUS62 KTBW 271222
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
822 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Upper ridging continues over the FL Peninsula and Nward with
subsidence aloft to keep the warm and dry conditions in place
through the weekend. Strong high pressure in the W Atlantic is
keeping a tight pressure gradient over the area with breezy
easterly winds as well to prevent the afternoon seabreezes with
temps warming to above daytime climate normals.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Ongoing VFR conditions will prevail through the weekend with FEW-
SCT050-060 fair wx cu and cirrus aloft. Easterly winds to become
gusty shortly and through the evening surge then decrease overnight.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-SUN) ...
Issued at 414 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Just another morning in paradise...temperatures in the 60s and
somewhat light easterly winds in place. Meanwhile, a persistent
area of high pressure aloft slides into the East Coast, while
high pressure builds at the surface. As a result, warm and dry
conditions prevail over the weekend. Periods of breezy easterly
winds are anticipated during this time. Afternoon highs climb up
to near 90 with dewpoints remain in the 60s, which should make
conditions feel slightly better. Visitors and residents should
stay hydrated as heat related illnesses are possible if exposed to
the sun and these temperatures for a long period of time.

&&

.LONG TERM (MON-FRI)...
Issued at 414 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Next week, high pressure remains over the area keeping an
approaching U/L disturbance north of the area. Winds should
decrease through the first half of the week and the sea breeze
returns at least to coastal areas. Afternoon highs warm up into
the low 90s across the CWA while overnight lows stay in the 60s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 350 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Area of high pressure remains in control over the Gulf waters. A
tight pressure gradient over the region has resulted in gusty
easterly winds and a Small Craft Advisory is now in effect for
this evening and into Sunday. Small craft should still exercise
caution early today as periods of breezy conditions and choppy
seas on the waters are anticipated through the weekend. Winds
decrease a bit early to mid next week with the afternoon sea breeze
returns.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 413 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Persistent high pressure continues to dominate across the region
keeping warm and dry conditions in place through the period. Minimum
humidity values are expected to be at or just below critical levels
each afternoon. Easterly winds become occasionally gusty each
afternoon into evening with high dispersions in some areas. Even
though fuels remain just moist enough to issue any red flag warnings,
an elevated fire weather risk remains with these conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  87  68  87  67 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  87  67  88  66 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  84  65  85  64 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  90  67  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  87  62  87  59 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  87  71  86  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Sunday
     for Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20
     NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out
     20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River
     FL out 20 NM-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out
     20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out
     20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL
     out 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$

RJD