Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS73 KDTX 251617
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Lee Unit...MDNR
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1217 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Northwest wind will gust to 20 to 25 mph for the remainder
of the afternoon. Dewpoints will fall another couple of degrees at the Lee
Unit burn site by the 1700 ignition time. RH will bottom out for the day
near this time at around 70 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Temperature.........Min 33.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2600-4500 ft AGL decreasing to 2200 ft AGL
                    late.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to excellent (20000-70000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)..........51  47  42  34  26  18  19  19  20  18  15  12
Weather cov......
Weather type.....
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............49  49  46  44  44  43  42  41  39  38  37  33
RH...............69  69  73  78  80  81  81  86  90  93  93  94
Eye lvl wnd dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd..11  10  9   8   8   7   6   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst..13  12  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)....4.5 4.0 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.6 2.2
Transp wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd..18  17  16  16  16  15  15  14  13  12  10  9
Haines index.....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4
VRate kt-ft/1000.70  60  50  50  50  50  40  40  30  30  20  20

$$
Forecaster...Clark
Requested by...Lee Osterland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807826.0/DTX
.EMAIL osterlandl@michigan.gov


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