Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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948
FNUS51 KALY 091929
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
328 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Showers will gradually develop this evening into the overnight
with the greatest likelihood from around the Capital District
south and east, as low pressure passes to our south across the
mid Atlantic region. Mostly cloudy, cool and showery conditions
are expected Friday through the upcoming weekend, as a series of
upper level disturbances move across the area. Temperatures
will be below normal, with more clouds than sunshine.

NYZ206-100800-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
328 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           50           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      41 (-3)      57 (-2)      39           58
RH % (24H TREND)      96 (-1)      60 (+11)     100          56
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  5                      Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  5        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.07         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4950                      5670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  39600                     51030
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
ADI early             7 Poor       25 Fair      5 Very Poor  35 Fair
ADI late              7 Poor       27 Fair      4 Very Poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            6            6            8
Max LVORI late        6            3            8            2

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-100800-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
328 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           30           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      42 (-5)      60 (-1)      40           63
RH % (24H TREND)      97 (+6)      50 (-1)      96           47
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  6        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.01         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5580                      6490
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  7                      SE  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  33480                     45430
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
ADI early             7 Poor       23 Fair      5 Very Poor  35 Fair
ADI late              6 Very Poor  27 Fair      4 Very Poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            3            7            1

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-100800-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
328 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      45 (-7)      58 (-7)      40           62
RH % (24H TREND)      98 (+12)     56 (+9)      95           47
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  6 G18                  Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  5        E  5 G18     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.17         0.05         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       8            9            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5490                      6540
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 10                      SE  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  49410                     39240
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
ADI early             7 Poor       38 Fair      6 Very Poor  36 Fair
ADI late              7 Poor       39 Fair      4 Very Poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            5            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            3            6            2

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-100800-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
328 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           70           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      42 (-6)      52 (-10)     37           58
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+12)    68 (+19)     97           52
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  7 G17                  Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  5        E  6 G17     Lgt/Var      SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.25         0.06         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       9            12           3            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3320                      6050
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 13                      SE  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  36520                     42350
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
ADI early             8 Poor       29 Fair      5 Very Poor  30 Fair
ADI late              9 Poor       34 Fair      5 Very Poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            4            7            2

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-100800-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
328 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           30           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      42 (-4)      58 (-1)      38           59
RH % (24H TREND)      93 (-1)      48 (-2)      86           47
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  6                      Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      E  6         Lgt/Var      SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.01         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5360                      5850
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 12                      E  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  53600                     46800
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
ADI early             7 Poor       42 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  42 Gen Good
ADI late              6 Very Poor  48 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            3            4
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-100800-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
328 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           30           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      40 (-4)      55 (-2)      35           56
RH % (24H TREND)      99 (+4)      55 (0)       92           53
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  6                      Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      E  6         Lgt/Var      E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5090                      6270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 12                      E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  50900                     56430
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
ADI early             6 Very Poor  38 Fair      7 Poor       50 Gen Good
ADI late              7 Poor       48 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  43 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            4            5
Max LVORI late        7            3            6            2

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-100800-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
328 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           30           20
TEMP (24H TREND)      43 (-5)      58 (-2)      38           59
RH % (24H TREND)      97 (+7)      48 (-3)      91           48
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      E  5         Lgt/Var      E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5520                      6580
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 12                      E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  55200                     59220
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
ADI early             7 Poor       39 Fair      6 Very Poor  53 Gen Good
ADI late              5 Very Poor  47 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  45 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            3            6
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-100800-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
328 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           30           20
TEMP (24H TREND)      41 (-7)      56 (-4)      37           58
RH % (24H TREND)      92 (+3)      47 (+2)      84           45
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  8 G19                  E  5
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  5        E  7 G19     E  5         E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.04         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5020                      6080
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 15                      E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  65260                     54720
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
ADI early             9 Poor       49 Gen Good  16 Gen Poor  55 Gen Good
ADI late              12 Poor      58 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  45 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       3            4            3            4
Max LVORI late        5            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-100800-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
328 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           30           20
TEMP (24H TREND)      42 (-8)      56 (-6)      38           60
RH % (24H TREND)      99 (+10)     54 (+6)      88           48
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  9 G20                  E  6
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  5 G17    E  7 G20     E  6         E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.08         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4600                      6090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 16                      E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  64400                     54810
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
ADI early             10 Poor      45 Gen Good  19 Gen Poor  56 Gen Good
ADI late              15 Gen Poor  61 Good      6 Very Poor  45 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       4            4            4            4
Max LVORI late        6            2            5            1

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-100800-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
328 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           40           20
TEMP (24H TREND)      44 (-8)      57 (-8)      39           60
RH % (24H TREND)      98 (+11)     57 (+9)      86           49
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  9 G19                  NE  6
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  6 G17    E  8 G19     E  5         E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.12         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4740                      6120
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 17                      E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  71100                     55080
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
ADI early             10 Poor      43 Gen Good  17 Gen Poor  58 Gen Good
ADI late              15 Gen Poor  65 Good      6 Very Poor  66 Good
Max LVORI early       4            4            4            4
Max LVORI late        5            3            5            1

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-100800-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
328 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           50           20
TEMP (24H TREND)      44 (-8)      56 (-11)     41           61
RH % (24H TREND)      97 (+13)     56 (+10)     85           47
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  8 G18                  NE  6
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  6        E  7 G18     E  5         E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.15         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       9            8            1            0
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM         Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4430                      6200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 15                      E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  57590                     55800
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
ADI early             10 Poor      49 Gen Good  17 Gen Poor  65 Good
ADI late              16 Gen Poor  67 Good      6 Very Poor  71 Good
Max LVORI early       4            4            3            4
Max LVORI late        5            3            5            2

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs around 70. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs around 70. North winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$