Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
546 FNUS73 KBIS 050828 FWSBIS Spot Forecast for Mt. Moriah WPA...FWS National Weather Service Bismarck ND 328 AM CDT Sun May 5 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 05. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Expect a mostly sunny sky at the burn site through the day with windy conditions developing through the afternoon hours. Winds will be out of the southeast, starting off around 12 mph and then increasing to around 24 mph by the mid to late afternoon. The high temperature will be in the mid to upper 60s and the afternoon humidity should dip to around 41 percent. Winds will continue to increase this evening with maybe a slight lull overnight. Tonight`s low will fall to around 49 and the humidity should recover to around 86 percent. It will then become very windy on Monday with high chances for rain showers. A few gusts to 50 mph will be possible out of the southeast on Monday afternoon. There will be a slight chance for a thunderstorm Monday afternoon as well. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 66. Min humidity........41 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 24 mph. Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 16 to 25 mph increasing to around 26 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (31500 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (129600 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........6 5 8 9 10 10 26 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............55 58 60 62 64 65 65 RH..............61 55 49 50 46 41 41 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..14 15 17 20 21 21 24 20 FT wind gust.21 21 23 24 25 26 28 Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 3.2 4.3 5.0 5.6 5.8 5.6 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.16 18 21 23 24 25 26 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Dispr kt-ft/1K..32 51 78 100 118 127 130 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 49. Max humidity........86 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 18 to 25 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. Mixing height.......700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 22 to 28 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Very good (121500 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (23300 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........28 45 55 39 54 50 55 56 55 50 52 53 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............65 63 60 56 55 53 52 51 51 50 49 49 RH..............41 46 51 59 64 69 69 71 71 74 80 80 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..25 24 20 18 18 22 24 24 25 25 25 25 20 FT wind gust.30 30 31 30 27 28 30 31 32 34 35 35 Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 3.9 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 Transp wind dir.S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SE SE Transp wind spd.26 28 22 22 22 24 25 25 26 28 26 26 Haines index....4 4 3 3 2 3 3 4 3 3 2 2 Dispr kt-ft/1K..122 94 23 15 14 16 18 18 20 22 19 19 .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the morning, then rain showers and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................0 percent increasing to 77 percent. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2 until 1600, then 3. Max temperature.....Around 63. Min humidity........78 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Southeast winds 22 to 31 mph. Gusts up to 46 mph increasing to 50 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 26 to 35 mph increasing to 36 to 37 mph late in the morning. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17400 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (89900 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........62 70 89 89 Weather cov..... SCTTRD SCTTRD DEFNTE Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC CWR.............0 40 40 80 Chc of pcpn (%).10 50 50 80 LAL.............1 1 1 2 Temp............49 52 57 60 RH..............80 83 83 81 20 FT wind......SE 22G32 SE 24G37 SE 24G38 SE 30G45 Mix hgt (ft)....800 1700 2600 2600 Transport wind..SE 26 SE 33 SE 37 SE 37 Haines index....2 3 2 2 Dispr kt-ft/1K..17 50 82 84 $$ Forecaster...HARGROVE Requested by...Terry Gwilliams Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413168.0/BIS .DELDT 05/05/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Terry_Gwilliams@fws.gov